Latest ECMWF and GFS model ensembles for Warsaw indicate a consensus high temperature near 14°C on April 3, reflecting trader sentiment with closely matched implied probabilities around 12–17°C outcomes amid typical early spring variability. Current forecasts show mild conditions under building high pressure over Central Europe, with daily highs climbing from today's observed 10–12°C, but ensemble spreads highlight uncertainty from potential cloud cover, light showers, or northerly winds that could cap peaks at 11–13°C or allow sunnier scenarios pushing toward 16–17°C. Historical April 3 averages hover at 12°C, aligning with the balanced market; watch IMGW updates and new model runs over the next 48 hours for shifts in steering patterns or boundary layer mixing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 3?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 3?
17°C or higher 22%
12°C 21%
14°C 21%
11°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
7°C or below
1%
8°C
15%
9°C
18%
10°C
10%
11°C
19%
12°C
21%
13°C
16%
14°C
21%
15°C
18%
16°C
16%
17°C or higher
22%
17°C or higher 22%
12°C 21%
14°C 21%
11°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
7°C or below
$212 交易量
1%
8°C
$15 交易量
15%
9°C
$0 交易量
18%
10°C
$0 交易量
10%
11°C
$0 交易量
19%
12°C
$0 交易量
21%
13°C
$20 交易量
16%
14°C
$0 交易量
21%
15°C
$0 交易量
18%
16°C
$0 交易量
16%
17°C or higher
$0 交易量
22%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS model ensembles for Warsaw indicate a consensus high temperature near 14°C on April 3, reflecting trader sentiment with closely matched implied probabilities around 12–17°C outcomes amid typical early spring variability. Current forecasts show mild conditions under building high pressure over Central Europe, with daily highs climbing from today's observed 10–12°C, but ensemble spreads highlight uncertainty from potential cloud cover, light showers, or northerly winds that could cap peaks at 11–13°C or allow sunnier scenarios pushing toward 16–17°C. Historical April 3 averages hover at 12°C, aligning with the balanced market; watch IMGW updates and new model runs over the next 48 hours for shifts in steering patterns or boundary layer mixing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
交易量
$247结束日期
Apr 3, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:43 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS model ensembles for Warsaw indicate a consensus high temperature near 14°C on April 3, reflecting trader sentiment with closely matched implied probabilities around 12–17°C outcomes amid typical early spring variability. Current forecasts show mild conditions under building high pressure over Central Europe, with daily highs climbing from today's observed 10–12°C, but ensemble spreads highlight uncertainty from potential cloud cover, light showers, or northerly winds that could cap peaks at 11–13°C or allow sunnier scenarios pushing toward 16–17°C. Historical April 3 averages hover at 12°C, aligning with the balanced market; watch IMGW updates and new model runs over the next 48 hours for shifts in steering patterns or boundary layer mixing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$247结束日期
Apr 3, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:43 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and GFS model ensembles for Warsaw indicate a consensus high temperature near 14°C on April 3, reflecting trader sentiment with closely matched implied probabilities around 12–17°C outcomes amid typical early spring variability. Current forecasts show mild conditions under building high pressure over Central Europe, with daily highs climbing from today's observed 10–12°C, but ensemble spreads highlight uncertainty from potential cloud cover, light showers, or northerly winds that could cap peaks at 11–13°C or allow sunnier scenarios pushing toward 16–17°C. Historical April 3 averages hover at 12°C, aligning with the balanced market; watch IMGW updates and new model runs over the next 48 hours for shifts in steering patterns or boundary layer mixing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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