Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble projections indicate a high temperature cluster of 12–15°C for Istanbul on April 7, driving trader consensus with 14°C (27.5%), 13°C (24.5%), and 15°C (23.5%) leading amid tight probabilities that reflect short-range forecast uncertainty. Persistent northerly airflow over the past 48 hours has maintained cool conditions, with recent highs near 14°C moderated by the Black Sea and Marmara Sea influences, aligning with early April climatological averages of 13–14°C at Istanbul Airport (LTBA), the market's NOAA resolution source. Model spreads arise from variable cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, potentially tipping the daily maximum; new 00Z/12Z runs from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF, plus Turkish MGM updates, could refine odds before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 7?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 7?
14°C 28%
13°C 16%
16°C 14%
15°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-04-07
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
25%
13°C
25%
14°C
28%
15°C
14%
16°C
14%
17°C
12%
18°C
4%
19°C or higher
3%
14°C 28%
13°C 16%
16°C 14%
15°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-04-07
9°C or below
$338 交易量
<1%
10°C
$246 交易量
1%
11°C
$390 交易量
1%
12°C
$30 交易量
25%
13°C
$65 交易量
25%
14°C
$45 交易量
28%
15°C
$44 交易量
14%
16°C
$35 交易量
14%
17°C
$30 交易量
12%
18°C
$50 交易量
4%
19°C or higher
$80 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble projections indicate a high temperature cluster of 12–15°C for Istanbul on April 7, driving trader consensus with 14°C (27.5%), 13°C (24.5%), and 15°C (23.5%) leading amid tight probabilities that reflect short-range forecast uncertainty. Persistent northerly airflow over the past 48 hours has maintained cool conditions, with recent highs near 14°C moderated by the Black Sea and Marmara Sea influences, aligning with early April climatological averages of 13–14°C at Istanbul Airport (LTBA), the market's NOAA resolution source. Model spreads arise from variable cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, potentially tipping the daily maximum; new 00Z/12Z runs from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF, plus Turkish MGM updates, could refine odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 3, 2026, 6:24 AM ET
交易量
$1,352结束日期
2026-04-07市场开放时间
Apr 3, 2026, 6:24 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble projections indicate a high temperature cluster of 12–15°C for Istanbul on April 7, driving trader consensus with 14°C (27.5%), 13°C (24.5%), and 15°C (23.5%) leading amid tight probabilities that reflect short-range forecast uncertainty. Persistent northerly airflow over the past 48 hours has maintained cool conditions, with recent highs near 14°C moderated by the Black Sea and Marmara Sea influences, aligning with early April climatological averages of 13–14°C at Istanbul Airport (LTBA), the market's NOAA resolution source. Model spreads arise from variable cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, potentially tipping the daily maximum; new 00Z/12Z runs from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF, plus Turkish MGM updates, could refine odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,352结束日期
2026-04-07市场开放时间
Apr 3, 2026, 6:24 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble projections indicate a high temperature cluster of 12–15°C for Istanbul on April 7, driving trader consensus with 14°C (27.5%), 13°C (24.5%), and 15°C (23.5%) leading amid tight probabilities that reflect short-range forecast uncertainty. Persistent northerly airflow over the past 48 hours has maintained cool conditions, with recent highs near 14°C moderated by the Black Sea and Marmara Sea influences, aligning with early April climatological averages of 13–14°C at Istanbul Airport (LTBA), the market's NOAA resolution source. Model spreads arise from variable cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, potentially tipping the daily maximum; new 00Z/12Z runs from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF, plus Turkish MGM updates, could refine odds before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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