Latest forecast ensembles from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and NOAA's Global Forecast System (GFS) project Istanbul highs near 19-20°C on April 6, driven by anticipated ridging and southerly airflow displacing recent cool, showery conditions observed through April 1-2, boosting trader consensus to 50% for 21°C or higher amid model warm biases and historical April variability (averages ~16°C). The 25.5% implied odds for 11°C or below capture ensemble spread from potential persistent cloud cover or northerly gusts, with mid-range outcomes (12-20°C) clustered lower due to uncertainty in exact peak heating. Turkish State Meteorological Service updates and fresh model runs over the next 48 hours will sharpen resolution criteria based on official airport observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于4月6日伊斯坦布尔气温最高？
4月6日伊斯坦布尔气温最高？
13°C 13%
14℃ 13%
19°C 11%
15°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
11°C或以下
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
13%
14℃
13%
15°C
10%
16°C
9%
17°C
10%
18°C
9%
19°C
11%
20°C
7%
21°C或更高
7%
13°C 13%
14℃ 13%
19°C 11%
15°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
11°C或以下
$234 交易量
1%
12°C
$236 交易量
1%
13°C
$0 交易量
13%
14℃
$0 交易量
13%
15°C
$1 交易量
10%
16°C
$7 交易量
9%
17°C
$0 交易量
10%
18°C
$0 交易量
9%
19°C
$0 交易量
11%
20°C
$0 交易量
7%
21°C或更高
$0 交易量
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecast ensembles from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and NOAA's Global Forecast System (GFS) project Istanbul highs near 19-20°C on April 6, driven by anticipated ridging and southerly airflow displacing recent cool, showery conditions observed through April 1-2, boosting trader consensus to 50% for 21°C or higher amid model warm biases and historical April variability (averages ~16°C). The 25.5% implied odds for 11°C or below capture ensemble spread from potential persistent cloud cover or northerly gusts, with mid-range outcomes (12-20°C) clustered lower due to uncertainty in exact peak heating. Turkish State Meteorological Service updates and fresh model runs over the next 48 hours will sharpen resolution criteria based on official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 2, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
交易量
$478结束日期
2026-04-06市场开放时间
Apr 2, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecast ensembles from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and NOAA's Global Forecast System (GFS) project Istanbul highs near 19-20°C on April 6, driven by anticipated ridging and southerly airflow displacing recent cool, showery conditions observed through April 1-2, boosting trader consensus to 50% for 21°C or higher amid model warm biases and historical April variability (averages ~16°C). The 25.5% implied odds for 11°C or below capture ensemble spread from potential persistent cloud cover or northerly gusts, with mid-range outcomes (12-20°C) clustered lower due to uncertainty in exact peak heating. Turkish State Meteorological Service updates and fresh model runs over the next 48 hours will sharpen resolution criteria based on official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$478结束日期
2026-04-06市场开放时间
Apr 2, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast ensembles from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and NOAA's Global Forecast System (GFS) project Istanbul highs near 19-20°C on April 6, driven by anticipated ridging and southerly airflow displacing recent cool, showery conditions observed through April 1-2, boosting trader consensus to 50% for 21°C or higher amid model warm biases and historical April variability (averages ~16°C). The 25.5% implied odds for 11°C or below capture ensemble spread from potential persistent cloud cover or northerly gusts, with mid-range outcomes (12-20°C) clustered lower due to uncertainty in exact peak heating. Turkish State Meteorological Service updates and fresh model runs over the next 48 hours will sharpen resolution criteria based on official airport observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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