Latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models project Wuhan's highest temperature at Tianhe International Airport on April 6 around 23–26°C, driving closely matched trader consensus with 23°C (18%) and 26°C (17.5%) leading amid inherent short-range uncertainty four days out. Recent CMA updates via Hong Kong Observatory noted a cooler April 2 high of 20°C with rain from a passing frontal system, but anticipate rebound via strengthening southerly winds and reduced cloud cover, aligning with early April climatological averages of 20–24°C highs. Model divergences on boundary layer mixing and exact timing of clearing skies differentiate outcomes, with new 12Z runs expected tomorrow to refine probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 6?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 6?
23°C 19%
24°C 19%
26°C 18%
21°C 13%
20°C or below
5%
21°C
13%
22°C
12%
23°C
23%
24°C
19%
25°C
12%
26°C
18%
27°C
10%
28°C
5%
29°C
6%
30°C or higher
4%
23°C 19%
24°C 19%
26°C 18%
21°C 13%
20°C or below
5%
21°C
13%
22°C
12%
23°C
23%
24°C
19%
25°C
12%
26°C
18%
27°C
10%
28°C
5%
29°C
6%
30°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 2, 2026, 6:35 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models project Wuhan's highest temperature at Tianhe International Airport on April 6 around 23–26°C, driving closely matched trader consensus with 23°C (18%) and 26°C (17.5%) leading amid inherent short-range uncertainty four days out. Recent CMA updates via Hong Kong Observatory noted a cooler April 2 high of 20°C with rain from a passing frontal system, but anticipate rebound via strengthening southerly winds and reduced cloud cover, aligning with early April climatological averages of 20–24°C highs. Model divergences on boundary layer mixing and exact timing of clearing skies differentiate outcomes, with new 12Z runs expected tomorrow to refine probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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