Official Central Weather Administration (CWA) observations at the Taipei meteorological station recorded a peak of 23.5°C around 07:00 on April 7, 2026, amid easterly winds ushering in widespread cloud cover and intermittent showers that sharply curbed daytime solar heating, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for the 23°C outcome. This positioning reflects real-time data trends, with temperatures dropping to 20.8°C by early afternoon under overcast skies and high humidity, consistent with seasonal forecasts projecting 21–24°C highs suppressed by moisture-laden flow. Historical April norms hover around 24°C, but today's atmospheric stability—evident in hourly readings peaking pre-dawn—solidifies the cap. Scenarios challenging this include improbable late-afternoon clearing for convective rebound above 24°C or post-hoc data revisions, though CWA's evening summary is unlikely to alter the outcome given the downward trajectory.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Taipei on April 7?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 7?
23°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$84,567 交易量
$84,567 交易量
2026-04-07
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$84,567 交易量
$84,567 交易量
2026-04-07
15°C or below
$2,496 交易量
No
16°C
$4,199 交易量
No
17°C
$2,454 交易量
No
18°C
$3,042 交易量
No
19°C
$3,280 交易量
No
20°C
$2,492 交易量
No
21°C
$1,996 交易量
No
22°C
$4,692 交易量
No
23°C
$31,183 交易量
Yes
24°C
$6,612 交易量
No
25°C or higher
$22,120 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Central Weather Administration (CWA) observations at the Taipei meteorological station recorded a peak of 23.5°C around 07:00 on April 7, 2026, amid easterly winds ushering in widespread cloud cover and intermittent showers that sharply curbed daytime solar heating, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for the 23°C outcome. This positioning reflects real-time data trends, with temperatures dropping to 20.8°C by early afternoon under overcast skies and high humidity, consistent with seasonal forecasts projecting 21–24°C highs suppressed by moisture-laden flow. Historical April norms hover around 24°C, but today's atmospheric stability—evident in hourly readings peaking pre-dawn—solidifies the cap. Scenarios challenging this include improbable late-afternoon clearing for convective rebound above 24°C or post-hoc data revisions, though CWA's evening summary is unlikely to alter the outcome given the downward trajectory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 3, 2026, 6:34 AM ET
交易量
$84,567结束日期
2026-04-07市场开放时间
Apr 3, 2026, 6:34 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Central Weather Administration (CWA) observations at the Taipei meteorological station recorded a peak of 23.5°C around 07:00 on April 7, 2026, amid easterly winds ushering in widespread cloud cover and intermittent showers that sharply curbed daytime solar heating, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for the 23°C outcome. This positioning reflects real-time data trends, with temperatures dropping to 20.8°C by early afternoon under overcast skies and high humidity, consistent with seasonal forecasts projecting 21–24°C highs suppressed by moisture-laden flow. Historical April norms hover around 24°C, but today's atmospheric stability—evident in hourly readings peaking pre-dawn—solidifies the cap. Scenarios challenging this include improbable late-afternoon clearing for convective rebound above 24°C or post-hoc data revisions, though CWA's evening summary is unlikely to alter the outcome given the downward trajectory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$84,567结束日期
2026-04-07市场开放时间
Apr 3, 2026, 6:34 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official Central Weather Administration (CWA) observations at the Taipei meteorological station recorded a peak of 23.5°C around 07:00 on April 7, 2026, amid easterly winds ushering in widespread cloud cover and intermittent showers that sharply curbed daytime solar heating, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for the 23°C outcome. This positioning reflects real-time data trends, with temperatures dropping to 20.8°C by early afternoon under overcast skies and high humidity, consistent with seasonal forecasts projecting 21–24°C highs suppressed by moisture-laden flow. Historical April norms hover around 24°C, but today's atmospheric stability—evident in hourly readings peaking pre-dawn—solidifies the cap. Scenarios challenging this include improbable late-afternoon clearing for convective rebound above 24°C or post-hoc data revisions, though CWA's evening summary is unlikely to alter the outcome given the downward trajectory.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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