Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects close alignment with Météo-France seasonal outlooks for a globally mild spring 2026, projecting above-normal temperatures in northern France driven by a lingering high-pressure ridge and weakening La Niña influences, centering Paris highs around 22-23°C on April 7—well above the climatological April average of 15°C. Differentiating factors include potential showers (50% chance per long-range data), which could cap peaks at 22°C via increased cloud cover, versus clearer skies and light easterly winds boosting to 23°C through enhanced solar insolation and shallow boundary layer mixing. Urban heat island effects at official stations like Paris-Montsouris add ~1-2°C. New short-range ECMWF and ARPEGE model runs expected within 48 hours may refine this uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Paris on April 7?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 7?
22°C 30%
23°C 29%
21°C 17%
24°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-04-07
18°C or below
3%
19°C
4%
20°C
9%
21°C
17%
22°C
30%
23°C
29%
24°C
12%
25°C
3%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
22°C 30%
23°C 29%
21°C 17%
24°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-04-07
18°C or below
$2,267 交易量
3%
19°C
$483 交易量
4%
20°C
$694 交易量
9%
21°C
$332 交易量
17%
22°C
$632 交易量
30%
23°C
$426 交易量
29%
24°C
$384 交易量
12%
25°C
$275 交易量
3%
26°C
$335 交易量
2%
27°C
$256 交易量
1%
28°C or higher
$323 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects close alignment with Météo-France seasonal outlooks for a globally mild spring 2026, projecting above-normal temperatures in northern France driven by a lingering high-pressure ridge and weakening La Niña influences, centering Paris highs around 22-23°C on April 7—well above the climatological April average of 15°C. Differentiating factors include potential showers (50% chance per long-range data), which could cap peaks at 22°C via increased cloud cover, versus clearer skies and light easterly winds boosting to 23°C through enhanced solar insolation and shallow boundary layer mixing. Urban heat island effects at official stations like Paris-Montsouris add ~1-2°C. New short-range ECMWF and ARPEGE model runs expected within 48 hours may refine this uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 3, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
交易量
$6,406结束日期
2026-04-07市场开放时间
Apr 3, 2026, 6:01 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects close alignment with Météo-France seasonal outlooks for a globally mild spring 2026, projecting above-normal temperatures in northern France driven by a lingering high-pressure ridge and weakening La Niña influences, centering Paris highs around 22-23°C on April 7—well above the climatological April average of 15°C. Differentiating factors include potential showers (50% chance per long-range data), which could cap peaks at 22°C via increased cloud cover, versus clearer skies and light easterly winds boosting to 23°C through enhanced solar insolation and shallow boundary layer mixing. Urban heat island effects at official stations like Paris-Montsouris add ~1-2°C. New short-range ECMWF and ARPEGE model runs expected within 48 hours may refine this uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$6,406结束日期
2026-04-07市场开放时间
Apr 3, 2026, 6:01 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects close alignment with Météo-France seasonal outlooks for a globally mild spring 2026, projecting above-normal temperatures in northern France driven by a lingering high-pressure ridge and weakening La Niña influences, centering Paris highs around 22-23°C on April 7—well above the climatological April average of 15°C. Differentiating factors include potential showers (50% chance per long-range data), which could cap peaks at 22°C via increased cloud cover, versus clearer skies and light easterly winds boosting to 23°C through enhanced solar insolation and shallow boundary layer mixing. Urban heat island effects at official stations like Paris-Montsouris add ~1-2°C. New short-range ECMWF and ARPEGE model runs expected within 48 hours may refine this uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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