Latest Météo-France guidance and ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project Paris highs clustering around 16–18°C on April 6 amid a shift to partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds following a cool, unsettled week with temperatures swinging from 2–19°C. Trader consensus favors 17°C at 31% implied probability, reflecting the central tendency of model means near 17°C under moderate insolation, while 18°C (22.5%) gains from scenarios with reduced cloud cover allowing greater solar heating—differentiated by afternoon clearing and wind advection from warmer sectors. Lower odds for 16°C (15.5%) or cooler stem from potential lingering humidity and overcast periods. Daily model updates through April 5 will sharpen resolution criteria at Charles de Gaulle Airport station, where measurements resolve to whole degrees Celsius.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Paris on April 6?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 6?
17°C 32%
18°C 25%
16°C 23%
15°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
14°C or below
5%
15°C
13%
16°C
23%
17°C
32%
18°C
25%
19°C
12%
20°C
5%
21°C
3%
22°C
3%
23°C
3%
24°C or higher
1%
17°C 32%
18°C 25%
16°C 23%
15°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
14°C or below
$128 交易量
5%
15°C
$72 交易量
13%
16°C
$110 交易量
23%
17°C
$97 交易量
32%
18°C
$155 交易量
25%
19°C
$783 交易量
12%
20°C
$61 交易量
5%
21°C
$38 交易量
3%
22°C
$42 交易量
3%
23°C
$46 交易量
3%
24°C or higher
$305 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France guidance and ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project Paris highs clustering around 16–18°C on April 6 amid a shift to partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds following a cool, unsettled week with temperatures swinging from 2–19°C. Trader consensus favors 17°C at 31% implied probability, reflecting the central tendency of model means near 17°C under moderate insolation, while 18°C (22.5%) gains from scenarios with reduced cloud cover allowing greater solar heating—differentiated by afternoon clearing and wind advection from warmer sectors. Lower odds for 16°C (15.5%) or cooler stem from potential lingering humidity and overcast periods. Daily model updates through April 5 will sharpen resolution criteria at Charles de Gaulle Airport station, where measurements resolve to whole degrees Celsius.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 2, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
交易量
$1,836结束日期
2026-04-06市场开放时间
Apr 2, 2026, 6:01 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France guidance and ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project Paris highs clustering around 16–18°C on April 6 amid a shift to partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds following a cool, unsettled week with temperatures swinging from 2–19°C. Trader consensus favors 17°C at 31% implied probability, reflecting the central tendency of model means near 17°C under moderate insolation, while 18°C (22.5%) gains from scenarios with reduced cloud cover allowing greater solar heating—differentiated by afternoon clearing and wind advection from warmer sectors. Lower odds for 16°C (15.5%) or cooler stem from potential lingering humidity and overcast periods. Daily model updates through April 5 will sharpen resolution criteria at Charles de Gaulle Airport station, where measurements resolve to whole degrees Celsius.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,836结束日期
2026-04-06市场开放时间
Apr 2, 2026, 6:01 AM ETLatest Météo-France guidance and ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project Paris highs clustering around 16–18°C on April 6 amid a shift to partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds following a cool, unsettled week with temperatures swinging from 2–19°C. Trader consensus favors 17°C at 31% implied probability, reflecting the central tendency of model means near 17°C under moderate insolation, while 18°C (22.5%) gains from scenarios with reduced cloud cover allowing greater solar heating—differentiated by afternoon clearing and wind advection from warmer sectors. Lower odds for 16°C (15.5%) or cooler stem from potential lingering humidity and overcast periods. Daily model updates through April 5 will sharpen resolution criteria at Charles de Gaulle Airport station, where measurements resolve to whole degrees Celsius.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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