Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts for Istanbul on April 1 indicate highs clustering around 15-17°C, driving trader consensus toward mid-teens outcomes like 15°C at 21.5% implied probability, amid model divergences on cloud cover and wind direction—northerly flows capping peaks at 13-15°C via cooler air advection, while southerly shifts could boost to 17-18°C. Recent heavy rainfall through March 30 has depressed surface temperatures, with partial recovery expected under variable spring conditions moderated by the Black Sea. Historical early-April highs average 15°C, aligning with MGM's 13°C projection. New 00Z/12Z model runs and Turkish State Meteorological Service updates within 48 hours will clarify insolation and steering patterns key to resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于4月1日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
4月1日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
15°C 28%
16°C 17%
13°C 12%
14°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
11°C或以下
9%
12°C
10%
13°C
12%
14°C
10%
15°C
22%
16°C
17%
17°C
8%
18°C
8%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C或更高
1%
15°C 28%
16°C 17%
13°C 12%
14°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
11°C或以下
$33 交易量
9%
12°C
$5 交易量
10%
13°C
$5 交易量
12%
14°C
$36 交易量
10%
15°C
$18 交易量
22%
16°C
$27 交易量
17%
17°C
$88 交易量
8%
18°C
$5 交易量
8%
19°C
$44 交易量
4%
20°C
$32 交易量
4%
21°C或更高
$220 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts for Istanbul on April 1 indicate highs clustering around 15-17°C, driving trader consensus toward mid-teens outcomes like 15°C at 21.5% implied probability, amid model divergences on cloud cover and wind direction—northerly flows capping peaks at 13-15°C via cooler air advection, while southerly shifts could boost to 17-18°C. Recent heavy rainfall through March 30 has depressed surface temperatures, with partial recovery expected under variable spring conditions moderated by the Black Sea. Historical early-April highs average 15°C, aligning with MGM's 13°C projection. New 00Z/12Z model runs and Turkish State Meteorological Service updates within 48 hours will clarify insolation and steering patterns key to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 1:53 PM ET
交易量
$513结束日期
Apr 1, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts for Istanbul on April 1 indicate highs clustering around 15-17°C, driving trader consensus toward mid-teens outcomes like 15°C at 21.5% implied probability, amid model divergences on cloud cover and wind direction—northerly flows capping peaks at 13-15°C via cooler air advection, while southerly shifts could boost to 17-18°C. Recent heavy rainfall through March 30 has depressed surface temperatures, with partial recovery expected under variable spring conditions moderated by the Black Sea. Historical early-April highs average 15°C, aligning with MGM's 13°C projection. New 00Z/12Z model runs and Turkish State Meteorological Service updates within 48 hours will clarify insolation and steering patterns key to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$513结束日期
Apr 1, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts for Istanbul on April 1 indicate highs clustering around 15-17°C, driving trader consensus toward mid-teens outcomes like 15°C at 21.5% implied probability, amid model divergences on cloud cover and wind direction—northerly flows capping peaks at 13-15°C via cooler air advection, while southerly shifts could boost to 17-18°C. Recent heavy rainfall through March 30 has depressed surface temperatures, with partial recovery expected under variable spring conditions moderated by the Black Sea. Historical early-April highs average 15°C, aligning with MGM's 13°C projection. New 00Z/12Z model runs and Turkish State Meteorological Service updates within 48 hours will clarify insolation and steering patterns key to resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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