Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts and Gimhae Airport guidance (near Busan) project an April 4 maximum temperature of 20°C, with morning rain tapering to afternoon clouds, aligning trader consensus on outcomes from 15-22°C amid model spread. AccuWeather and Ventusky ensembles show slightly lower peaks near 18°C under persistent overcast and 90% precipitation odds, differentiating probabilities through uncertainty in rain clearance timing and solar insolation—earlier breaks could push toward 20-22°C via stronger southwest winds, while prolonged clouds cap at 15-17°C. April 3 highs reached 19°C despite clouds, continuing a mild early-spring pattern above historical 16°C norms; final KMA hourly updates expected soon will sharpen resolution based on official Busan station data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于4月4日釜山气温最高?
4月4日釜山气温最高?
18°C 26%
19°C 26%
16°C 26%
17°C 26%
13℃或以下
<1%
14°C
6%
15°C
15%
16°C
26%
17°C
26%
18°C
26%
19°C
26%
20°C
18%
21°C
18%
22°C
14%
23°C或更高
15%
18°C 26%
19°C 26%
16°C 26%
17°C 26%
13℃或以下
<1%
14°C
6%
15°C
15%
16°C
26%
17°C
26%
18°C
26%
19°C
26%
20°C
18%
21°C
18%
22°C
14%
23°C或更高
15%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 2, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts and Gimhae Airport guidance (near Busan) project an April 4 maximum temperature of 20°C, with morning rain tapering to afternoon clouds, aligning trader consensus on outcomes from 15-22°C amid model spread. AccuWeather and Ventusky ensembles show slightly lower peaks near 18°C under persistent overcast and 90% precipitation odds, differentiating probabilities through uncertainty in rain clearance timing and solar insolation—earlier breaks could push toward 20-22°C via stronger southwest winds, while prolonged clouds cap at 15-17°C. April 3 highs reached 19°C despite clouds, continuing a mild early-spring pattern above historical 16°C norms; final KMA hourly updates expected soon will sharpen resolution based on official Busan station data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题