Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” leads trader consensus at 37.3% because its broad coalition structure and established networks provide the clearest organizational advantage in Guinea-Bissau’s fragmented party system ahead of the December 2026 legislative elections. A November 2025 coup suspended the prior electoral process after opposition figures were barred, leaving a transitional charter that bars interim leaders from contesting and sets new polls under proportional representation favoring consolidated groups. Smaller parties such as FLING and PS trail with single-digit implied probabilities amid ongoing political divisions and the absence of unified opposition blocs capable of challenging larger alliances.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于几内亚比绍全国人民议会选举获胜者
几内亚比绍全国人民议会选举获胜者
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” 36.5%
FLING 9.4%
PS 5.7%
FREPASNA 3.8%
$142,422 交易量
$142,422 交易量
2025-11-23
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”
36%
FLING
9%
PS
6%
FREPASNA
4%
MUNDO-GB
3%
PT
<1%
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” 36.5%
FLING 9.4%
PS 5.7%
FREPASNA 3.8%
$142,422 交易量
$142,422 交易量
2025-11-23
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”
$40,775 交易量
36%
FLING
$12,052 交易量
9%
PS
$23,605 交易量
6%
FREPASNA
$23,783 交易量
4%
MUNDO-GB
$21,508 交易量
3%
PT
$20,698 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” leads trader consensus at 37.3% because its broad coalition structure and established networks provide the clearest organizational advantage in Guinea-Bissau’s fragmented party system ahead of the December 2026 legislative elections. A November 2025 coup suspended the prior electoral process after opposition figures were barred, leaving a transitional charter that bars interim leaders from contesting and sets new polls under proportional representation favoring consolidated groups. Smaller parties such as FLING and PS trail with single-digit implied probabilities amid ongoing political divisions and the absence of unified opposition blocs capable of challenging larger alliances.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
市场开放时间： Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ET
交易量
$142,422结束日期
2025-11-23市场开放时间
Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” leads trader consensus at 37.3% because its broad coalition structure and established networks provide the clearest organizational advantage in Guinea-Bissau’s fragmented party system ahead of the December 2026 legislative elections. A November 2025 coup suspended the prior electoral process after opposition figures were barred, leaving a transitional charter that bars interim leaders from contesting and sets new polls under proportional representation favoring consolidated groups. Smaller parties such as FLING and PS trail with single-digit implied probabilities amid ongoing political divisions and the absence of unified opposition blocs capable of challenging larger alliances.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
交易量
$142,422结束日期
2025-11-23市场开放时间
Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” leads trader consensus at 37.3% because its broad coalition structure and established networks provide the clearest organizational advantage in Guinea-Bissau’s fragmented party system ahead of the December 2026 legislative elections. A November 2025 coup suspended the prior electoral process after opposition figures were barred, leaving a transitional charter that bars interim leaders from contesting and sets new polls under proportional representation favoring consolidated groups. Smaller parties such as FLING and PS trail with single-digit implied probabilities amid ongoing political divisions and the absence of unified opposition blocs capable of challenging larger alliances.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题