Trader consensus heavily favors "No" on claims that Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro's recent capture of alleged assassins was staged, driven by official state media broadcasts of interrogations and evidence from the three detained Colombians, aired without contradiction from primary sources. Post-July election unrest amplified opposition skepticism and social media rumors of fabrication to justify crackdowns, but lack of verifiable proof—such as whistleblower testimony or independent verification—bolsters 99.3% implied probability against staging. Realistic shifts could arise from international probes by bodies like the UN or OAS uncovering inconsistencies, or leaked documents proving orchestration, though current evidence supports authenticity amid ongoing diplomatic tensions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
$920,461 交易量
$920,461 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
是
$920,461 交易量
$920,461 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is widely and credibly confirmed that the operation to capture Nicolás Maduro was staged or pre-arranged with Maduro (i.e., facilitated, permitted, or agreed to in advance such that Maduro’s capture was not the result of an adversarial raid) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Statements from the U.S. government claiming that the operation was staged or pre-arranged will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If no broad consensus has been reached by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is widely and credibly confirmed that the operation to capture Nicolás Maduro was staged or pre-arranged with Maduro (i.e., facilitated, permitted, or agreed to in advance such that Maduro’s capture was not the result of an adversarial raid) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Statements from the U.S. government claiming that the operation was staged or pre-arranged will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If no broad consensus has been reached by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is widely and credibly confirmed that the operation to capture Nicolás Maduro was staged or pre-arranged with Maduro (i.e., facilitated, permitted, or agreed to in advance such that Maduro’s capture was not the result of an adversarial raid) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Statements from the U.S. government claiming that the operation was staged or pre-arranged will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If no broad consensus has been reached by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Statements from the U.S. government claiming that the operation was staged or pre-arranged will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If no broad consensus has been reached by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jan 4, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
交易量
$920,461结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 4, 2026, 8:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is widely and credibly confirmed that the operation to capture Nicolás Maduro was staged or pre-arranged with Maduro (i.e., facilitated, permitted, or agreed to in advance such that Maduro’s capture was not the result of an adversarial raid) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Statements from the U.S. government claiming that the operation was staged or pre-arranged will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If no broad consensus has been reached by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is widely and credibly confirmed that the operation to capture Nicolás Maduro was staged or pre-arranged with Maduro (i.e., facilitated, permitted, or agreed to in advance such that Maduro’s capture was not the result of an adversarial raid) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Statements from the U.S. government claiming that the operation was staged or pre-arranged will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If no broad consensus has been reached by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is widely and credibly confirmed that the operation to capture Nicolás Maduro was staged or pre-arranged with Maduro (i.e., facilitated, permitted, or agreed to in advance such that Maduro’s capture was not the result of an adversarial raid) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Statements from the U.S. government claiming that the operation was staged or pre-arranged will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If no broad consensus has been reached by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Statements from the U.S. government claiming that the operation was staged or pre-arranged will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If no broad consensus has been reached by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$920,461结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 4, 2026, 8:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors "No" on claims that Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro's recent capture of alleged assassins was staged, driven by official state media broadcasts of interrogations and evidence from the three detained Colombians, aired without contradiction from primary sources. Post-July election unrest amplified opposition skepticism and social media rumors of fabrication to justify crackdowns, but lack of verifiable proof—such as whistleblower testimony or independent verification—bolsters 99.3% implied probability against staging. Realistic shifts could arise from international probes by bodies like the UN or OAS uncovering inconsistencies, or leaked documents proving orchestration, though current evidence supports authenticity amid ongoing diplomatic tensions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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