Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Elon Musk posting 1320-1359 times on X in March 2026 at 99.6% implied probability, driven by month-end tallies from resolved sub-period markets (e.g., March 28-30, 24-31) and third-party trackers confirming a total around 1330 amid his steady 42-45 daily post volume of main feed posts, quotes, and reposts. Final March 31 activity, verified within the last 24 hours via X advanced search and API scrapes, cemented this range without late surges or shortfalls. Scenarios that could challenge this include oracle disputes over post classification, timezone discrepancies for edge cases, or retroactive deletions, though such shifts remain highly improbable given the skin-in-the-game alignment across granular markets.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于1320-1359 99.6%
1280-1319 <1%
1360-1399 <1%
1400+ <1%
$3,495,271 交易量
$3,495,271 交易量
2026-04-01
1280-1319
<1%
1320-1359
100%
1360-1399
<1%
1400+
<1%
1320-1359 99.6%
1280-1319 <1%
1360-1399 <1%
1400+ <1%
$3,495,271 交易量
$3,495,271 交易量
2026-04-01
1280-1319
$782,904 交易量
<1%
1320-1359
$459,408 交易量
100%
1360-1399
$239,380 交易量
<1%
1400+
$125,048 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of March 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Elon Musk posting 1320-1359 times on X in March 2026 at 99.6% implied probability, driven by month-end tallies from resolved sub-period markets (e.g., March 28-30, 24-31) and third-party trackers confirming a total around 1330 amid his steady 42-45 daily post volume of main feed posts, quotes, and reposts. Final March 31 activity, verified within the last 24 hours via X advanced search and API scrapes, cemented this range without late surges or shortfalls. Scenarios that could challenge this include oracle disputes over post classification, timezone discrepancies for edge cases, or retroactive deletions, though such shifts remain highly improbable given the skin-in-the-game alignment across granular markets.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of March 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： Jan 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
交易量
$3,495,271结束日期
2026-04-01市场开放时间
Jan 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of March 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Elon Musk posting 1320-1359 times on X in March 2026 at 99.6% implied probability, driven by month-end tallies from resolved sub-period markets (e.g., March 28-30, 24-31) and third-party trackers confirming a total around 1330 amid his steady 42-45 daily post volume of main feed posts, quotes, and reposts. Final March 31 activity, verified within the last 24 hours via X advanced search and API scrapes, cemented this range without late surges or shortfalls. Scenarios that could challenge this include oracle disputes over post classification, timezone discrepancies for edge cases, or retroactive deletions, though such shifts remain highly improbable given the skin-in-the-game alignment across granular markets.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of March 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$3,495,271结束日期
2026-04-01市场开放时间
Jan 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Elon Musk posting 1320-1359 times on X in March 2026 at 99.6% implied probability, driven by month-end tallies from resolved sub-period markets (e.g., March 28-30, 24-31) and third-party trackers confirming a total around 1330 amid his steady 42-45 daily post volume of main feed posts, quotes, and reposts. Final March 31 activity, verified within the last 24 hours via X advanced search and API scrapes, cemented this range without late surges or shortfalls. Scenarios that could challenge this include oracle disputes over post classification, timezone discrepancies for edge cases, or retroactive deletions, though such shifts remain highly improbable given the skin-in-the-game alignment across granular markets.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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