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Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack?

Market icon

Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack?

0% 概率
Polymarket

$598,129 交易量

0% 概率
Polymarket

$598,129 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible evidence surfaces indicating that Israeli intelligence agencies or the Israeli government had foreknowledge of a specific attack by Hamas, linked to the October 7 attack, and took no action to prevent it by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The evidence must unequivocally demonstrate that the Israeli government or intelligence apparatus had substantial and specific information about an attack by Hamas prior to its occurrence and deliberately chose not to act. Generic or vague alerts, warnings, or intelligence without direct link to the October 7, 2023 attack by Hamas will not be considered sufficient for this market's resolution. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible evidence surfaces indicating that Israeli intelligence agencies or the Israeli government had foreknowledge of a specific attack by Hamas, linked to the October 7 attack, and took no action to prevent it by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The evidence must unequivocally demonstrate that the Israeli government or intelligence apparatus had substantial and specific information about an attack by Hamas prior to its occurrence and deliberately chose not to act. Generic or vague alerts, warnings, or intelligence without direct link to the October 7, 2023 attack by Hamas will not be considered sufficient for this market's resolution.

This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$598,129
结束日期
2023-12-31
市场开放时间
Oct 10, 2023, 4:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible evidence surfaces indicating that Israeli intelligence agencies or the Israeli government had foreknowledge of a specific attack by Hamas, linked to the October 7 attack, and took no action to prevent it by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The evidence must unequivocally demonstrate that the Israeli government or intelligence apparatus had substantial and specific information about an attack by Hamas prior to its occurrence and deliberately chose not to act. Generic or vague alerts, warnings, or intelligence without direct link to the October 7, 2023 attack by Hamas will not be considered sufficient for this market's resolution. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

已提议结果: Yes

有争议

已提议结果: Yes

有争议

最终结果: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible evidence surfaces indicating that Israeli intelligence agencies or the Israeli government had foreknowledge of a specific attack by Hamas, linked to the October 7 attack, and took no action to prevent it by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The evidence must unequivocally demonstrate that the Israeli government or intelligence apparatus had substantial and specific information about an attack by Hamas prior to its occurrence and deliberately chose not to act. Generic or vague alerts, warnings, or intelligence without direct link to the October 7, 2023 attack by Hamas will not be considered sufficient for this market's resolution. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible evidence surfaces indicating that Israeli intelligence agencies or the Israeli government had foreknowledge of a specific attack by Hamas, linked to the October 7 attack, and took no action to prevent it by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The evidence must unequivocally demonstrate that the Israeli government or intelligence apparatus had substantial and specific information about an attack by Hamas prior to its occurrence and deliberately chose not to act. Generic or vague alerts, warnings, or intelligence without direct link to the October 7, 2023 attack by Hamas will not be considered sufficient for this market's resolution.

This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$598,129
结束日期
2023-12-31
市场开放时间
Oct 10, 2023, 4:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible evidence surfaces indicating that Israeli intelligence agencies or the Israeli government had foreknowledge of a specific attack by Hamas, linked to the October 7 attack, and took no action to prevent it by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The evidence must unequivocally demonstrate that the Israeli government or intelligence apparatus had substantial and specific information about an attack by Hamas prior to its occurrence and deliberately chose not to act. Generic or vague alerts, warnings, or intelligence without direct link to the October 7, 2023 attack by Hamas will not be considered sufficient for this market's resolution. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

已提议结果: Yes

有争议

已提议结果: Yes

有争议

最终结果: No

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack?"是 Polymarket 上的一个预测市场，交易者根据自己对事件是否会发生的判断买卖"是"或"否"的份额。当前社区预测的概率为 0%（"Yes"）。例如，如果"是"的价格为 0¢，则市场集体认为该事件发生的概率为 0%。这些赔率会随着交易者对新动态和信息的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack?"已产生 $598.1K 的总交易量（自Oct 10, 2023市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack?"上交易，只需选择你认为答案是"是"还是"否"。每一方都有一个反映市场隐含概率的当前价格。输入你的金额并点击"交易"。如果你买入"是"的份额且结果为"是"，每份支付 $1。如果结果为"否"，你的"是"份额支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额以锁定利润或止损。

"Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack?"的当前概率为 0%（"Yes"）。这意味着 Polymarket 社区目前认为该事件发生的概率为 0%。这些赔率基于实际交易实时更新，持续提供市场预期信号。

"Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。