Name: 2028年民主党总统候选人
Start: 2025-07-11T18:41:17.827Z
End: 2028-11-07T00:00:00.000Z

Question 1

What is the "2028年民主党总统候选人" prediction market?

Accepted Answer

"2028年民主党总统候选人" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "加文·纽瑟姆" at 25%, followed by "分组项标题：亚历山德里亚·奥卡西奥-科尔特斯" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 25¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

Question 2

How much trading activity has "2028年民主党总统候选人" generated on Polymarket?

Accepted Answer

As of today, "2028年民主党总统候选人" has generated $775.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

Question 3

How do I trade on "2028年民主党总统候选人"?

Accepted Answer

To trade on "2028年民主党总统候选人," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

Question 4

What are the current odds for "2028年民主党总统候选人"?

Accepted Answer

The current frontrunner for "2028年民主党总统候选人" is "加文·纽瑟姆" at 25%, meaning the market assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "分组项标题：亚历山德里亚·奥卡西奥-科尔特斯" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

Question 5

How will "2028年民主党总统候选人" be resolved?

Accepted Answer

The resolution rules for "2028年民主党总统候选人" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Question 6

Can I follow "2028年民主党总统候选人" without placing a trade?

Accepted Answer

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "2028年民主党总统候选人." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Question 7

Why are Polymarket's odds for "2028年民主党总统候选人" considered reliable?

Accepted Answer

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $775.8 million traded on "2028年民主党总统候选人," these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket's prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

Question 8

How do I start trading on "2028年民主党总统候选人"?

Accepted Answer

To place your first trade on "2028年民主党总统候选人," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

Question 9

What does a price of 25¢ for "加文·纽瑟姆" mean?

Accepted Answer

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 25¢ for "加文·纽瑟姆" in the "2028年民主党总统候选人" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 25% chance that "加文·纽瑟姆" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 25¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 75¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

Question 10

When does the "2028年民主党总统候选人" market close?

Accepted Answer

The "2028年民主党总统候选人" market is a long-term prediction with a resolution date of Nov 7, 2028 — that's roughly over 3 years away. Long-term markets on Polymarket often see their odds shift significantly as events unfold, making them useful for tracking evolving sentiment. You can trade at any time or bookmark this page to follow the odds over the months and years ahead.

Question 11

What are traders saying about "2028年民主党总统候选人"?

Accepted Answer

The "2028年民主党总统候选人" market has an active community of 561 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Question 12

What is Polymarket?

Accepted Answer

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "2028年民主党总统候选人." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

2028年民主党总统候选人