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西孟加拉邦立法议会选举获胜者

Market icon

西孟加拉邦立法议会选举获胜者

全印草根大会党(AITC) 77%

印度人民党(BJP) 22%

印度国民大会党(INC) <1%

印度共产党(CPI) <1%

Polymarket

$61,408 交易量

全印草根大会党(AITC) 77%

印度人民党(BJP) 22%

印度国民大会党(INC) <1%

印度共产党(CPI) <1%

Polymarket

$61,408 交易量

Market icon

全印草根大会党(AITC)

$0 交易量

77%

Market icon

印度人民党(BJP)

$17,018 交易量

22%

Market icon

印度国民大会党(INC)

$0 交易量

<1%

Market icon

印度共产党(CPI)

$15,811 交易量

<1%

Market icon

CPI(M)

$14,390 交易量

<1%

Market icon

印度廓尔喀民主阵线(BGPM)

$14,190 交易量

<1%

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).
交易量
$61,408
结束日期
May 7, 2026
市场开放时间
Dec 23, 2025, 3:13 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).

Trader consensus strongly favors All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) at 77.5% to win the West Bengal Legislative Assembly election, driven by incumbency advantages under Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee and robust welfare programs like Lakshmir Bhandar. Recent polls from Axis My India and Lokniti-CSDS show AITC leading with 47-52% vote share against BJP's 28-38%, reinforced by AITC's sweep of six 2024 by-elections and 29-of-42 Lok Sabha seats. BJP holds 21.5% implied probability amid organizational hurdles and governance critiques, while CPI, CPI(M), BGPM, and INC remain marginal at 0.1% each. Absent major scandals or alliances, AITC's polling edge sustains market sentiment ahead of the 2026 contest.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"西孟加拉邦立法议会选举获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 6 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"全印草根大会党(AITC)",概率为 77%,其次是"印度人民党(BJP)",概率为 22%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 77¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 77%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"西孟加拉邦立法议会选举获胜者"已产生 $61.4K 的总交易量(自Dec 23, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"西孟加拉邦立法议会选举获胜者"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 6 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"西孟加拉邦立法议会选举获胜者"的当前领先者是"全印草根大会党(AITC)",概率为 77%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 77%。紧随其后的结果是"印度人民党(BJP)",概率为 22%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"西孟加拉邦立法议会选举获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。