Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors the BJP to win the most seats in the Assam Legislative Assembly elections, with implied probabilities reflecting the March IANS-Matrize opinion poll projecting 96-98 seats for the party out of 126, bolstered by Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's recent prediction of 90-100 seats for the NDA alliance including AGP and BPF partners. This commanding position stems from strong incumbency after the 2021 victory, high approval for development initiatives, and a wave of high-profile Congress defections like former state chief Bhupen Borah and MP Pradyut Bordoloi in recent weeks, weakening the opposition Mahajot. Polling occurs in a single phase on April 9, with results on May 4. Realistic challenges include unexpectedly high turnout favoring Congress in tea garden belts or last-minute controversies eroding BJP's vote share edge.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于印度人民党（BJP） 96%
印度国民大会党（INC） 2.5%
NPEP <1%
全印联合民主阵线（AIUDF） <1%
$31,699 交易量
$31,699 交易量
2026-05-20
印度人民党（BJP）
96%
印度国民大会党（INC）
3%
NPEP
1%
全印联合民主阵线（AIUDF）
<1%
印度共产党（CPI）
<1%
CPI(M)
<1%
NCP
<1%
全印度草根大会党
<1%
阿萨姆人民联合会（AGP）
<1%
博多兰人民阵线（BPF）
<1%
印度人民党（BJP） 96%
印度国民大会党（INC） 2.5%
NPEP <1%
全印联合民主阵线（AIUDF） <1%
$31,699 交易量
$31,699 交易量
2026-05-20
印度人民党（BJP）
$4,381 交易量
96%
印度国民大会党（INC）
$3,632 交易量
3%
NPEP
$3,334 交易量
1%
全印联合民主阵线（AIUDF）
$3,111 交易量
<1%
印度共产党（CPI）
$3,475 交易量
<1%
CPI(M)
$2,733 交易量
<1%
NCP
$2,551 交易量
<1%
全印度草根大会党
$2,962 交易量
<1%
阿萨姆人民联合会（AGP）
$2,819 交易量
<1%
博多兰人民阵线（BPF）
$2,703 交易量
<1%
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors the BJP to win the most seats in the Assam Legislative Assembly elections, with implied probabilities reflecting the March IANS-Matrize opinion poll projecting 96-98 seats for the party out of 126, bolstered by Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's recent prediction of 90-100 seats for the NDA alliance including AGP and BPF partners. This commanding position stems from strong incumbency after the 2021 victory, high approval for development initiatives, and a wave of high-profile Congress defections like former state chief Bhupen Borah and MP Pradyut Bordoloi in recent weeks, weakening the opposition Mahajot. Polling occurs in a single phase on April 9, with results on May 4. Realistic challenges include unexpectedly high turnout favoring Congress in tea garden belts or last-minute controversies eroding BJP's vote share edge.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
市场开放时间： Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ET
交易量
$31,699结束日期
2026-04-09市场开放时间
Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors the BJP to win the most seats in the Assam Legislative Assembly elections, with implied probabilities reflecting the March IANS-Matrize opinion poll projecting 96-98 seats for the party out of 126, bolstered by Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's recent prediction of 90-100 seats for the NDA alliance including AGP and BPF partners. This commanding position stems from strong incumbency after the 2021 victory, high approval for development initiatives, and a wave of high-profile Congress defections like former state chief Bhupen Borah and MP Pradyut Bordoloi in recent weeks, weakening the opposition Mahajot. Polling occurs in a single phase on April 9, with results on May 4. Realistic challenges include unexpectedly high turnout favoring Congress in tea garden belts or last-minute controversies eroding BJP's vote share edge.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
交易量
$31,699结束日期
2026-04-09市场开放时间
Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors the BJP to win the most seats in the Assam Legislative Assembly elections, with implied probabilities reflecting the March IANS-Matrize opinion poll projecting 96-98 seats for the party out of 126, bolstered by Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's recent prediction of 90-100 seats for the NDA alliance including AGP and BPF partners. This commanding position stems from strong incumbency after the 2021 victory, high approval for development initiatives, and a wave of high-profile Congress defections like former state chief Bhupen Borah and MP Pradyut Bordoloi in recent weeks, weakening the opposition Mahajot. Polling occurs in a single phase on April 9, with results on May 4. Realistic challenges include unexpectedly high turnout favoring Congress in tea garden belts or last-minute controversies eroding BJP's vote share edge.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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