Market icon
政治·主要

佛罗里达州州长民主党初选获胜者

Market icon
政治·主要

佛罗里达州州长民主党初选获胜者

大卫·乔利 65%

Jerry Demings 18.4%

Shevrin Jones 7.3%

芬特里斯·德里斯科尔 4.7%

Polymarket
NEW

大卫·乔利 65%

Jerry Demings 18.4%

Shevrin Jones 7.3%

芬特里斯·德里斯科尔 4.7%

Polymarket
NEW

大卫·乔利

$1,479 交易量

65%

Jerry Demings

$0 交易量

18%

Shevrin Jones

$0 交易量

7%

芬特里斯·德里斯科尔

$0 交易量

5%

安吉·尼克森

$4,019 交易量

3%

格温·格雷厄姆

$0 交易量

3%

丹妮拉·莱文·卡瓦

$0 交易量

2%

贾森·皮佐

$450 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. If no 2026 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.David Jolly commands trader consensus at 65% implied probability in the Florida Democratic gubernatorial primary ahead of the August 18, 2026 contest, propelled by incoming Senate Democratic Leader Shevrin Jones' endorsement two days ago—citing Democrats' recent flips of two legislative seats in special elections amid voter frustration over affordability. Early polls reflect Jolly's edge over Orange County Mayor Jerry Demings (18%), buoyed by his name recognition as a former moderate congressman who switched parties, though majorities remain undecided. Jones drops to 7% post-endorsement, while lower-tier candidates like Fentrice Driskell and Angie Nixon lag due to limited visibility; upcoming fundraising and debate events could shift the closely contested field.

David Jolly commands trader consensus at 65% implied probability in the Florida Democratic gubernatorial primary ahead of the August 18, 2026 contest, propelled by incoming Senate Democratic Leader Shevrin Jones' endorsement two days ago—citing Democrats' recent flips of two legislative seats in special elections amid voter frustration over affordability. Early polls reflect Jolly's edge over Orange County Mayor Jerry Demings (18%), buoyed by his name recognition as a former moderate congressman who switched parties, though majorities remain undecided. Jones drops to 7% post-endorsement, while lower-tier candidates like Fentrice Driskell and Angie Nixon lag due to limited visibility; upcoming fundraising and debate events could shift the closely contested field.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. If no 2026 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.David Jolly commands trader consensus at 65% implied probability in the Florida Democratic gubernatorial primary ahead of the August 18, 2026 contest, propelled by incoming Senate Democratic Leader Shevrin Jones' endorsement two days ago—citing Democrats' recent flips of two legislative seats in special elections amid voter frustration over affordability. Early polls reflect Jolly's edge over Orange County Mayor Jerry Demings (18%), buoyed by his name recognition as a former moderate congressman who switched parties, though majorities remain undecided. Jones drops to 7% post-endorsement, while lower-tier candidates like Fentrice Driskell and Angie Nixon lag due to limited visibility; upcoming fundraising and debate events could shift the closely contested field.

David Jolly commands trader consensus at 65% implied probability in the Florida Democratic gubernatorial primary ahead of the August 18, 2026 contest, propelled by incoming Senate Democratic Leader Shevrin Jones' endorsement two days ago—citing Democrats' recent flips of two legislative seats in special elections amid voter frustration over affordability. Early polls reflect Jolly's edge over Orange County Mayor Jerry Demings (18%), buoyed by his name recognition as a former moderate congressman who switched parties, though majorities remain undecided. Jones drops to 7% post-endorsement, while lower-tier candidates like Fentrice Driskell and Angie Nixon lag due to limited visibility; upcoming fundraising and debate events could shift the closely contested field.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"佛罗里达州州长民主党初选获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 8 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"大卫·乔利"，概率为 65%，其次是"Jerry Demings"，概率为 18%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 65¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 65%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"佛罗里达州州长民主党初选获胜者"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场，于Nov 25, 2025上线。作为一个新市场，这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签，以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"佛罗里达州州长民主党初选获胜者"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 8 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"佛罗里达州州长民主党初选获胜者"的当前领先者是"大卫·乔利"，概率为 65%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 65%。紧随其后的结果是"Jerry Demings"，概率为 18%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"佛罗里达州州长民主党初选获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。