Incumbent Rep. Kevin Mullin (D) commands 95% trader consensus in the CA-15 House race, driven by the district's D+26 partisan voting index, his 73% landslide victory in the 2024 general election, and dominant fundraising with over $229,000 cash on hand as of late 2025. The March 6 filing deadline revealed Democratic challengers Anthony Dang and Mantosh Kumar but a solitary, underfunded Republican Charles Hoelter, reinforcing the safe Democratic hold in this Bay Area seat encompassing most of San Mateo County. The nonpartisan top-two primary on June 2 could advance Mullin alongside another Democrat, per historical patterns. Realistic challenges include a stunning primary upset, personal scandal, or national Republican wave, though base rates for such shifts in deep-blue districts remain low.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$46,247 交易量
$46,247 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
95%
共和党
5%
$46,247 交易量
$46,247 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$37,051 交易量
95%
共和党
$9,196 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Kevin Mullin (D) commands 95% trader consensus in the CA-15 House race, driven by the district's D+26 partisan voting index, his 73% landslide victory in the 2024 general election, and dominant fundraising with over $229,000 cash on hand as of late 2025. The March 6 filing deadline revealed Democratic challengers Anthony Dang and Mantosh Kumar but a solitary, underfunded Republican Charles Hoelter, reinforcing the safe Democratic hold in this Bay Area seat encompassing most of San Mateo County. The nonpartisan top-two primary on June 2 could advance Mullin alongside another Democrat, per historical patterns. Realistic challenges include a stunning primary upset, personal scandal, or national Republican wave, though base rates for such shifts in deep-blue districts remain low.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
交易量
$46,247结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Kevin Mullin (D) commands 95% trader consensus in the CA-15 House race, driven by the district's D+26 partisan voting index, his 73% landslide victory in the 2024 general election, and dominant fundraising with over $229,000 cash on hand as of late 2025. The March 6 filing deadline revealed Democratic challengers Anthony Dang and Mantosh Kumar but a solitary, underfunded Republican Charles Hoelter, reinforcing the safe Democratic hold in this Bay Area seat encompassing most of San Mateo County. The nonpartisan top-two primary on June 2 could advance Mullin alongside another Democrat, per historical patterns. Realistic challenges include a stunning primary upset, personal scandal, or national Republican wave, though base rates for such shifts in deep-blue districts remain low.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$46,247结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Kevin Mullin (D) commands 95% trader consensus in the CA-15 House race, driven by the district's D+26 partisan voting index, his 73% landslide victory in the 2024 general election, and dominant fundraising with over $229,000 cash on hand as of late 2025. The March 6 filing deadline revealed Democratic challengers Anthony Dang and Mantosh Kumar but a solitary, underfunded Republican Charles Hoelter, reinforcing the safe Democratic hold in this Bay Area seat encompassing most of San Mateo County. The nonpartisan top-two primary on June 2 could advance Mullin alongside another Democrat, per historical patterns. Realistic challenges include a stunning primary upset, personal scandal, or national Republican wave, though base rates for such shifts in deep-blue districts remain low.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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