**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors the Democratic Party in California's 7th Congressional District House race due to the seat's deep-blue partisan lean, long-held by incumbent Rep. Doris Matsui since 2005, and strong historical performance for Democratic presidential candidates like Kamala Harris in 2024.** Recent developments, including a April 3 candidate forum featuring six contenders—highlighting a generational intra-party challenge from Sacramento Councilmember Mai Vang—underscore primary competition ahead of the June 2 top-two jungle primary, where the top two vote-getters advance regardless of party. However, heavy Democratic registration and turnout advantages make a Republican advancement unlikely, cementing the party's commanding position. Scenarios that could shift odds include a national GOP wave, Matsui scandal, or intra-Democratic vote split enabling a GOP second-place finish, though these face steep barriers in this safe seat.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
91%
共和党
9%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$645 交易量
91%
共和党
$0 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors the Democratic Party in California's 7th Congressional District House race due to the seat's deep-blue partisan lean, long-held by incumbent Rep. Doris Matsui since 2005, and strong historical performance for Democratic presidential candidates like Kamala Harris in 2024.** Recent developments, including a April 3 candidate forum featuring six contenders—highlighting a generational intra-party challenge from Sacramento Councilmember Mai Vang—underscore primary competition ahead of the June 2 top-two jungle primary, where the top two vote-getters advance regardless of party. However, heavy Democratic registration and turnout advantages make a Republican advancement unlikely, cementing the party's commanding position. Scenarios that could shift odds include a national GOP wave, Matsui scandal, or intra-Democratic vote split enabling a GOP second-place finish, though these face steep barriers in this safe seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
交易量
$645结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors the Democratic Party in California's 7th Congressional District House race due to the seat's deep-blue partisan lean, long-held by incumbent Rep. Doris Matsui since 2005, and strong historical performance for Democratic presidential candidates like Kamala Harris in 2024.** Recent developments, including a April 3 candidate forum featuring six contenders—highlighting a generational intra-party challenge from Sacramento Councilmember Mai Vang—underscore primary competition ahead of the June 2 top-two jungle primary, where the top two vote-getters advance regardless of party. However, heavy Democratic registration and turnout advantages make a Republican advancement unlikely, cementing the party's commanding position. Scenarios that could shift odds include a national GOP wave, Matsui scandal, or intra-Democratic vote split enabling a GOP second-place finish, though these face steep barriers in this safe seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$645结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors the Democratic Party in California's 7th Congressional District House race due to the seat's deep-blue partisan lean, long-held by incumbent Rep. Doris Matsui since 2005, and strong historical performance for Democratic presidential candidates like Kamala Harris in 2024.** Recent developments, including a April 3 candidate forum featuring six contenders—highlighting a generational intra-party challenge from Sacramento Councilmember Mai Vang—underscore primary competition ahead of the June 2 top-two jungle primary, where the top two vote-getters advance regardless of party. However, heavy Democratic registration and turnout advantages make a Republican advancement unlikely, cementing the party's commanding position. Scenarios that could shift odds include a national GOP wave, Matsui scandal, or intra-Democratic vote split enabling a GOP second-place finish, though these face steep barriers in this safe seat.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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