Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson faces a rare well-funded primary challenge from fellow Democrat Eric Jones in California's 4th Congressional District's top-two primary on June 2, 2026, where the top two vote-getters advance regardless of party. Jones slightly outraised Thompson through December 2025 and earned progressive endorsements like Our Revolution, while Thompson secured backing from the California Democratic Party and business groups such as Metro PAC; a fragmented field of six Republicans and one independent likely splits the opposition vote, boosting Democratic advancement odds. The redrawn district leans Solid Democratic (D+17 PVI) but by a narrower margin than prior lines, with no public polling available. Early voting begins May 23, potentially amplifying grassroots efforts like Jones's 100,000+ doors knocked. Recent backlash against Jones in early March underscores intra-party tensions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$17,112 交易量
Mike Thompson
96%
Eric Jones
91%
John Wesley Tyler
40%
Trevor Merrell
20%
Heath Fulkerson
8%
Sharon Brown
7%
Laurie MacKenzie
6%
Mandy Ghusar
6%
$17,112 交易量
Mike Thompson
96%
Eric Jones
91%
John Wesley Tyler
40%
Trevor Merrell
20%
Heath Fulkerson
8%
Sharon Brown
7%
Laurie MacKenzie
6%
Mandy Ghusar
6%
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间: Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson faces a rare well-funded primary challenge from fellow Democrat Eric Jones in California's 4th Congressional District's top-two primary on June 2, 2026, where the top two vote-getters advance regardless of party. Jones slightly outraised Thompson through December 2025 and earned progressive endorsements like Our Revolution, while Thompson secured backing from the California Democratic Party and business groups such as Metro PAC; a fragmented field of six Republicans and one independent likely splits the opposition vote, boosting Democratic advancement odds. The redrawn district leans Solid Democratic (D+17 PVI) but by a narrower margin than prior lines, with no public polling available. Early voting begins May 23, potentially amplifying grassroots efforts like Jones's 100,000+ doors knocked. Recent backlash against Jones in early March underscores intra-party tensions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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