Incumbent Republican Abraham Hamadeh commands 85% trader consensus to retain Arizona's 8th Congressional District, an R+8 battleground encompassing growing Phoenix suburbs like Peoria and Sun City, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. His 2024 general election win by 13 points (56.5%-43.5%) over Democrat Greg Whitten solidified the district's reliable GOP tilt, unchanged in recent cycles. With low-profile Democratic primary challengers—Jillian Barfield, Maria Flores, Bernadette Greene Placentia, and Raymond Keeler—facing Hamadeh and token GOP foe Amanda Rose ahead of July 21 primaries, recent endorsements like Veterans for America First reinforce his incumbency edge ahead of the November 3 contest.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
85%
民主党
15%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$0 交易量
85%
民主党
$0 交易量
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Abraham Hamadeh commands 85% trader consensus to retain Arizona's 8th Congressional District, an R+8 battleground encompassing growing Phoenix suburbs like Peoria and Sun City, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. His 2024 general election win by 13 points (56.5%-43.5%) over Democrat Greg Whitten solidified the district's reliable GOP tilt, unchanged in recent cycles. With low-profile Democratic primary challengers—Jillian Barfield, Maria Flores, Bernadette Greene Placentia, and Raymond Keeler—facing Hamadeh and token GOP foe Amanda Rose ahead of July 21 primaries, recent endorsements like Veterans for America First reinforce his incumbency edge ahead of the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Abraham Hamadeh commands 85% trader consensus to retain Arizona's 8th Congressional District, an R+8 battleground encompassing growing Phoenix suburbs like Peoria and Sun City, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. His 2024 general election win by 13 points (56.5%-43.5%) over Democrat Greg Whitten solidified the district's reliable GOP tilt, unchanged in recent cycles. With low-profile Democratic primary challengers—Jillian Barfield, Maria Flores, Bernadette Greene Placentia, and Raymond Keeler—facing Hamadeh and token GOP foe Amanda Rose ahead of July 21 primaries, recent endorsements like Veterans for America First reinforce his incumbency edge ahead of the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Abraham Hamadeh commands 85% trader consensus to retain Arizona's 8th Congressional District, an R+8 battleground encompassing growing Phoenix suburbs like Peoria and Sun City, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. His 2024 general election win by 13 points (56.5%-43.5%) over Democrat Greg Whitten solidified the district's reliable GOP tilt, unchanged in recent cycles. With low-profile Democratic primary challengers—Jillian Barfield, Maria Flores, Bernadette Greene Placentia, and Raymond Keeler—facing Hamadeh and token GOP foe Amanda Rose ahead of July 21 primaries, recent endorsements like Veterans for America First reinforce his incumbency edge ahead of the November 3 contest.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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