Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 77.5% implied probability to Argentina's March 2026 monthly CPI falling in the 3.1–3.3% range, reflecting private consultora estimates averaging around 3.0–3.2% amid upside risks from fuel price surges exceeding 20% and regulated tariff adjustments. February's official INDEC reading held steady at 2.9% month-over-month, stable from January but above initial forecasts, sustaining the disinflation trajectory under President Milei's fiscal austerity—annual inflation now near 33%. Recent private surveys, including Analytica and Eco Go at 3.0% and a broader consensus at 3.2%, have nudged odds higher versus the lower 2.8–3.0% bin at 19%, with INDEC's official release expected mid-April as the key catalyst.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Argentina Monthly Inflation - March
Argentina Monthly Inflation - March
3.1–3.3% 78%
2.8–3.0% 20%
3.4–3.6% 3.5%
2.5–2.7% 3.3%
$18,150 交易量
$18,150 交易量
2026-04-14
≤2.1%
<1%
2.2–2.4%
<1%
2.5–2.7%
3%
2.8–3.0%
20%
3.1–3.3%
78%
3.4–3.6%
4%
3.7%+
<1%
3.1–3.3% 78%
2.8–3.0% 20%
3.4–3.6% 3.5%
2.5–2.7% 3.3%
$18,150 交易量
$18,150 交易量
2026-04-14
≤2.1%
$1,490 交易量
<1%
2.2–2.4%
$1,116 交易量
<1%
2.5–2.7%
$1,442 交易量
3%
2.8–3.0%
$1,874 交易量
20%
3.1–3.3%
$5,852 交易量
78%
3.4–3.6%
$2,679 交易量
4%
3.7%+
$3,697 交易量
<1%
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 77.5% implied probability to Argentina's March 2026 monthly CPI falling in the 3.1–3.3% range, reflecting private consultora estimates averaging around 3.0–3.2% amid upside risks from fuel price surges exceeding 20% and regulated tariff adjustments. February's official INDEC reading held steady at 2.9% month-over-month, stable from January but above initial forecasts, sustaining the disinflation trajectory under President Milei's fiscal austerity—annual inflation now near 33%. Recent private surveys, including Analytica and Eco Go at 3.0% and a broader consensus at 3.2%, have nudged odds higher versus the lower 2.8–3.0% bin at 19%, with INDEC's official release expected mid-April as the key catalyst.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市场开放时间： Mar 17, 2026, 10:40 AM ET
交易量
$18,150结束日期
2026-04-14市场开放时间
Mar 17, 2026, 10:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 77.5% implied probability to Argentina's March 2026 monthly CPI falling in the 3.1–3.3% range, reflecting private consultora estimates averaging around 3.0–3.2% amid upside risks from fuel price surges exceeding 20% and regulated tariff adjustments. February's official INDEC reading held steady at 2.9% month-over-month, stable from January but above initial forecasts, sustaining the disinflation trajectory under President Milei's fiscal austerity—annual inflation now near 33%. Recent private surveys, including Analytica and Eco Go at 3.0% and a broader consensus at 3.2%, have nudged odds higher versus the lower 2.8–3.0% bin at 19%, with INDEC's official release expected mid-April as the key catalyst.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
交易量
$18,150结束日期
2026-04-14市场开放时间
Mar 17, 2026, 10:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 77.5% implied probability to Argentina's March 2026 monthly CPI falling in the 3.1–3.3% range, reflecting private consultora estimates averaging around 3.0–3.2% amid upside risks from fuel price surges exceeding 20% and regulated tariff adjustments. February's official INDEC reading held steady at 2.9% month-over-month, stable from January but above initial forecasts, sustaining the disinflation trajectory under President Milei's fiscal austerity—annual inflation now near 33%. Recent private surveys, including Analytica and Eco Go at 3.0% and a broader consensus at 3.2%, have nudged odds higher versus the lower 2.8–3.0% bin at 19%, with INDEC's official release expected mid-April as the key catalyst.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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