Market icon
政治·中期

阿拉斯加州州长选举获胜者

Market icon
政治·中期

阿拉斯加州州长选举获胜者

汤姆·贝吉奇 25%

伯纳黛特·威尔逊 15%

埃德娜·德弗里斯 9.1%

特雷格·泰勒 8.2%

Polymarket

$385,178 交易量

汤姆·贝吉奇 25%

伯纳黛特·威尔逊 15%

埃德娜·德弗里斯 9.1%

特雷格·泰勒 8.2%

Polymarket

$385,178 交易量

Market icon

汤姆·贝吉奇

$93,908 交易量

25%

Market icon

伯纳黛特·威尔逊

$129,227 交易量

21%

Market icon

埃德娜·德弗里斯

$0 交易量

8%

Market icon

特雷格·泰勒

$2,637 交易量

13%

Market icon

南希·达尔斯特伦姆

$97,782 交易量

8%

Market icon

大卫·布朗森

$2,133 交易量

5%

Market icon

丽莎·穆尔科斯基

$2,173 交易量

5%

Market icon

詹姆斯·帕金

$0 交易量

5%

Market icon

雪莉·休斯

$0 交易量

4%

Market icon

玛丽·佩尔托拉

$0 交易量

3%

Market icon

Click Bishop

$2,258 交易量

2%

Market icon

马特·海拉拉

$23,406 交易量

1%

Market icon

亚当·克拉姆

$31,654 交易量

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.In the open-seat race to succeed term-limited Gov. Mike Dunleavy, trader consensus favors Democrat Tom Begich at 25% implied probability for the November 2026 general election winner, propelled by February 2026 polls showing him leading first-round hypotheticals at 22–41% amid a fragmented Republican field where no contender exceeds 16%. Alaska's nonpartisan top-four primary on August 18 heightens the premium on broad appeal under ranked-choice voting, with Begich consolidating Democratic and moderate support via name recognition from his state Senate tenure. GOP candidates like ex-Attorney General Treg Taylor (recent $880,000 fundraising haul) and activist Bernadette Wilson trail closely but split conservative votes; separation could emerge from June 1 filing deadline surprises, major endorsements, or Republican consolidation before the primary.

In the open-seat race to succeed term-limited Gov. Mike Dunleavy, trader consensus favors Democrat Tom Begich at 25% implied probability for the November 2026 general election winner, propelled by February 2026 polls showing him leading first-round hypotheticals at 22–41% amid a fragmented Republican field where no contender exceeds 16%. Alaska's nonpartisan top-four primary on August 18 heightens the premium on broad appeal under ranked-choice voting, with Begich consolidating Democratic and moderate support via name recognition from his state Senate tenure. GOP candidates like ex-Attorney General Treg Taylor (recent $880,000 fundraising haul) and activist Bernadette Wilson trail closely but split conservative votes; separation could emerge from June 1 filing deadline surprises, major endorsements, or Republican consolidation before the primary.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.In the open-seat race to succeed term-limited Gov. Mike Dunleavy, trader consensus favors Democrat Tom Begich at 25% implied probability for the November 2026 general election winner, propelled by February 2026 polls showing him leading first-round hypotheticals at 22–41% amid a fragmented Republican field where no contender exceeds 16%. Alaska's nonpartisan top-four primary on August 18 heightens the premium on broad appeal under ranked-choice voting, with Begich consolidating Democratic and moderate support via name recognition from his state Senate tenure. GOP candidates like ex-Attorney General Treg Taylor (recent $880,000 fundraising haul) and activist Bernadette Wilson trail closely but split conservative votes; separation could emerge from June 1 filing deadline surprises, major endorsements, or Republican consolidation before the primary.

In the open-seat race to succeed term-limited Gov. Mike Dunleavy, trader consensus favors Democrat Tom Begich at 25% implied probability for the November 2026 general election winner, propelled by February 2026 polls showing him leading first-round hypotheticals at 22–41% amid a fragmented Republican field where no contender exceeds 16%. Alaska's nonpartisan top-four primary on August 18 heightens the premium on broad appeal under ranked-choice voting, with Begich consolidating Democratic and moderate support via name recognition from his state Senate tenure. GOP candidates like ex-Attorney General Treg Taylor (recent $880,000 fundraising haul) and activist Bernadette Wilson trail closely but split conservative votes; separation could emerge from June 1 filing deadline surprises, major endorsements, or Republican consolidation before the primary.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"阿拉斯加州州长选举获胜者 "是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 13 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"汤姆·贝吉奇"，概率为 25%，其次是"伯纳黛特·威尔逊"，概率为 21%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 25¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 25%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"阿拉斯加州州长选举获胜者 "已产生 $385.2K 的总交易量（自Oct 13, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"阿拉斯加州州长选举获胜者 "上交易，浏览本页上列出的 13 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"阿拉斯加州州长选举获胜者 "的当前领先者是"汤姆·贝吉奇"，概率为 25%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 25%。紧随其后的结果是"伯纳黛特·威尔逊"，概率为 21%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"阿拉斯加州州长选举获胜者 "的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。