**Recent primary elections in Texas and North Carolina on March 3-4 showed Democrats outperforming Republican turnout in key races despite overall low participation compared to 2022 midterms, signaling uneven mobilization early in the cycle.** This tempers bets on exceptionally high turnout while aligning trader consensus around 110-120 million votes cast nationally for House races—slightly above 2022's 111 million but shy of 2018's 118 million peak—reflecting historical midterm rates of 40-50% of voting eligible population. Tight generic congressional ballot polls (e.g., 45-42% Democratic edge in latest YouGov, 50-50 in Harvard-Harris) underscore the contest's balance, with no dominant enthusiasm gap. Dynamics stay competitive due to uncertain national mood, incumbency advantages, and staggered primaries ahead; shifts could arise from stronger party turnout in upcoming contests, registration drives, swing state early voting trends, or economic data impacting voter motivation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于1.15亿-1.2亿 18%
1.10亿-1.15亿 15%
1.2亿-1.25亿 15%
1.25亿-1.3亿 14%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
少于8500万
9%
8500万-9000万
10%
9000万-9500万
7%
9500万-1亿
9%
1亿-1.05亿
9%
1.05亿-1.1亿
13%
1.10亿-1.15亿
15%
1.15亿-1.2亿
18%
1.2亿-1.25亿
15%
1.25亿-1.3亿
14%
1.3亿+
8%
1.15亿-1.2亿 18%
1.10亿-1.15亿 15%
1.2亿-1.25亿 15%
1.25亿-1.3亿 14%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
少于8500万
$206 交易量
9%
8500万-9000万
$305 交易量
10%
9000万-9500万
$688 交易量
7%
9500万-1亿
$137 交易量
9%
1亿-1.05亿
$0 交易量
9%
1.05亿-1.1亿
$0 交易量
13%
1.10亿-1.15亿
$0 交易量
15%
1.15亿-1.2亿
$0 交易量
18%
1.2亿-1.25亿
$0 交易量
15%
1.25亿-1.3亿
$0 交易量
14%
1.3亿+
$0 交易量
8%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.**Recent primary elections in Texas and North Carolina on March 3-4 showed Democrats outperforming Republican turnout in key races despite overall low participation compared to 2022 midterms, signaling uneven mobilization early in the cycle.** This tempers bets on exceptionally high turnout while aligning trader consensus around 110-120 million votes cast nationally for House races—slightly above 2022's 111 million but shy of 2018's 118 million peak—reflecting historical midterm rates of 40-50% of voting eligible population. Tight generic congressional ballot polls (e.g., 45-42% Democratic edge in latest YouGov, 50-50 in Harvard-Harris) underscore the contest's balance, with no dominant enthusiasm gap. Dynamics stay competitive due to uncertain national mood, incumbency advantages, and staggered primaries ahead; shifts could arise from stronger party turnout in upcoming contests, registration drives, swing state early voting trends, or economic data impacting voter motivation.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
市场开放时间： Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
交易量
$1,335结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.**Recent primary elections in Texas and North Carolina on March 3-4 showed Democrats outperforming Republican turnout in key races despite overall low participation compared to 2022 midterms, signaling uneven mobilization early in the cycle.** This tempers bets on exceptionally high turnout while aligning trader consensus around 110-120 million votes cast nationally for House races—slightly above 2022's 111 million but shy of 2018's 118 million peak—reflecting historical midterm rates of 40-50% of voting eligible population. Tight generic congressional ballot polls (e.g., 45-42% Democratic edge in latest YouGov, 50-50 in Harvard-Harris) underscore the contest's balance, with no dominant enthusiasm gap. Dynamics stay competitive due to uncertain national mood, incumbency advantages, and staggered primaries ahead; shifts could arise from stronger party turnout in upcoming contests, registration drives, swing state early voting trends, or economic data impacting voter motivation.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
交易量
$1,335结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent primary elections in Texas and North Carolina on March 3-4 showed Democrats outperforming Republican turnout in key races despite overall low participation compared to 2022 midterms, signaling uneven mobilization early in the cycle.** This tempers bets on exceptionally high turnout while aligning trader consensus around 110-120 million votes cast nationally for House races—slightly above 2022's 111 million but shy of 2018's 118 million peak—reflecting historical midterm rates of 40-50% of voting eligible population. Tight generic congressional ballot polls (e.g., 45-42% Democratic edge in latest YouGov, 50-50 in Harvard-Harris) underscore the contest's balance, with no dominant enthusiasm gap. Dynamics stay competitive due to uncertain national mood, incumbency advantages, and staggered primaries ahead; shifts could arise from stronger party turnout in upcoming contests, registration drives, swing state early voting trends, or economic data impacting voter motivation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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