US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

32%

$1M 交易量

$62.9K Liq.

68

Ends 10 個月內

March Unemployment Rate

March Unemployment Rate

31%

4.4%

$174K 交易量

$25.9K Liq.

Ends 大約 6 小時前

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

88%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$719K 交易量

$101K Liq.

Ends 2 個月內

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

94%

Up

$76 交易量

$784 Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

56%

5.0%

$345K 交易量

$22.3K Liq.

26

Ends 9 個月內

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

98%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$412K 交易量

$87.8K Liq.

39

Ends 26 天內

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

28%

800–900B

$17.4K 交易量

$10.5K Liq.

Ends 11 個月內

China Annual Inflation 2026

China Annual Inflation 2026

32%

0.6 – 1.0%

$30.7K 交易量

$39.0K Liq.

Ends 9 個月內

Bank of Korea decision in April?

Bank of Korea decision in April?

99%

No Change

$38.1K 交易量

$34.9K Liq.

Ends 7 天內

Bank of Korea decision in May?

Bank of Korea decision in May?

75%

No Change

$15.8K 交易量

$20.9K Liq.

Ends 大約 2 個月內

# of seats won by DP in South Korea by-elections?

# of seats won by DP in South Korea by-elections?

55%

10+

$21.5K 交易量

$23.0K Liq.

Ends 2 個月內

Bank of Brazil Decision in June?

Bank of Brazil Decision in June?

86%

Decrease

$5.7K 交易量

$13.5K Liq.

Ends 2 個月內

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

20%

$5.6K 交易量

$2.2K Liq.

2

Ends 11 個月內

Bank of Brazil Decision in April?

Bank of Brazil Decision in April?

85%

Decrease

$196K 交易量

$44.6K Liq.

Ends 25 天內

Bank of Israel Decision in July?

Bank of Israel Decision in July?

51%

No Change

$0 交易量

$277 Liq.

Ends 3 個月內

Bank of Israel Decision in May?

Bank of Israel Decision in May?

92%

No Change

$11.9K 交易量

$4.5K Liq.

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Bank of Russia decision in April?

Bank of Russia decision in April?

90%

Decrease

$39.1K 交易量

$52.1K Liq.

Ends 21 天內

March Inflation US - Monthly

March Inflation US - Monthly

91%

≥0.8%

$540K 交易量

$38.5K Liq.

Ends 7 天內

Bank of Mexico Decision in May

Bank of Mexico Decision in May

84%

No change

$10.0K 交易量

$15.5K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Bank of Mexico Decision in June

Bank of Mexico Decision in June

50%

Decrease

$0 交易量

$949 Liq.

Ends 3 個月內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 國家經濟研究局.

Polymarket currently hosts 101 active markets for 國家經濟研究局 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “US recession by end of 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $3.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Fed decisions (Mar-Jun),” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US recession by end of 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 69% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 國家經濟研究局 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.