Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?
貿易戰·Politics

Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?

3%

$300K 交易量

$37.3K Liq.

24

Ends in 17 days

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
貿易戰·Politics

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

25%

India

$73.9K 交易量

$121K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

US Trade Deficit in 2026?
貿易戰·Trump

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

30%

800–900B

$0 交易量

$10.8K Liq.

Ends in 12 months

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
貿易戰·Politics

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

30%

$285K 交易量

$17.7K Liq.

34

Ends in 4 months

US x Cuba economic deal by...?
貿易戰·Russia

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

65%

June 30

$306 交易量

$3.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Will Congress pass any tariffs by March 31?
貿易戰·Politics

Will Congress pass any tariffs by March 31?

2%

$22.0K 交易量

$13.4K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Silver (SI) above ___ end of June?
貿易戰·Finance

Silver (SI) above ___ end of June?

85%

$60

$130K 交易量

$27.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Will Trump visit China by...?
貿易戰·Politics

Will Trump visit China by...?

88%

April 30, 2026

$3M 交易量

$77.6K Liq.

152

Ends in about 2 months

U.S. tariff rate on China on March 31?
貿易戰·Politics

U.S. tariff rate on China on March 31?

79%

5–15%

$240K 交易量

$41.4K Liq.

22

Ends in 17 days

US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
貿易戰·Politics

US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?

26%

$1.7K 交易量

$20.3K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?
貿易戰·Politics

Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?

94%

$53.8K 交易量

$13.3K Liq.

4

Ends in 17 days

China x India military clash by...?
貿易戰·Politics

China x India military clash by...?

18%

December 31, 2026

$197K 交易量

$12.3K Liq.

11

US x China Military clash before 2027?
貿易戰·Politics

US x China Military clash before 2027?

9%

$27.9K 交易量

$17.6K Liq.

2

Ends in 10 months

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
貿易戰·Politics

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

49%

$402K 交易量

$30.9K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?
貿易戰·Politics

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

13%

$28.9K 交易量

$6.8K Liq.

4

Ends in 4 months

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
貿易戰·Politics

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

18%

$1M 交易量

$65.0K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

China x Japan military clash before 2027?
貿易戰·Politics

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

15%

$475K 交易量

$69.1K Liq.

24

Ends in 10 months

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?
貿易戰·Politics

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

7%

$34.4K 交易量

$16.5K Liq.

4

Ends in 4 months

What will Trump post this week? (March 16 - March 22)
貿易戰·Politics

What will Trump post this week? (March 16 - March 22)

74%

Texas

$23 交易量

$6.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

MegaETH airdrop by...?
貿易戰·Crypto

MegaETH airdrop by...?

64%

June 30, 2026

$2M 交易量

$30.7K Liq.

106

Ends in 4 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 貿易戰.

Polymarket currently hosts 187 active markets for 貿易戰 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $8.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “China x Japan military clash before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will Trump visit China by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will Trump visit China by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 88% chance to April 30, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 貿易戰 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.