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地緣政治·特朗普

特朗普將在2027年之前與哪些國家達成新的貿易協議？

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地緣政治·特朗普

特朗普將在2027年之前與哪些國家達成新的貿易協議？

12月 31

12月 31

$243,182 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$243,182 交易量

Polymarket

印度

$34,739 交易量

25%

以色列

$208 交易量

24%

英國

$419 交易量

17%

墨西哥

$1,722 交易量

22%

日本

$4,610 交易量

21%

越南

$4,858 交易量

21%

加拿大

$0 交易量

19%

巴西

$3,015 交易量

20%

台灣

$29,215 交易量

19%

巴基斯坦

$67,698 交易量

18%

阿根廷

$18,557 交易量

17%

南韓

$53,215 交易量

22%

歐盟

$4,013 交易量

14%

南非

$0 交易量

14%

印尼

$17,847 交易量

18%

澳洲

$1,300 交易量

11%

俄羅斯

$1,766 交易量

21%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's administration has leveraged tariff threats to secure over a dozen Agreements on Reciprocal Trade (ARTs) since early 2025, including finalized deals with Indonesia (February 19, 2026), Taiwan (February 12), El Salvador (January 29), and Guatemala (January 30), alongside frameworks with Japan, South Korea, the UK, EU, Vietnam, Cambodia, Malaysia, Argentina, Bangladesh, and North Macedonia. These pacts reduce reciprocal tariff baselines, eliminate nontariff barriers, and secure billions in U.S. export commitments for energy, aircraft, and agriculture. The USTR's March 2026 Trade Policy Agenda emphasizes enforcing existing ARTs while advancing negotiations with India, Ecuador, and others through 2026. With 20 months until resolution, trader consensus hinges on tariff escalations, diplomatic summits, and Section 301 probes targeting non-compliant partners like Canada and Mexico.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$243,182
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 5:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's administration has leveraged tariff threats to secure over a dozen Agreements on Reciprocal Trade (ARTs) since early 2025, including finalized deals with Indonesia (February 19, 2026), Taiwan (February 12), El Salvador (January 29), and Guatemala (January 30), alongside frameworks with Japan, South Korea, the UK, EU, Vietnam, Cambodia, Malaysia, Argentina, Bangladesh, and North Macedonia. These pacts reduce reciprocal tariff baselines, eliminate nontariff barriers, and secure billions in U.S. export commitments for energy, aircraft, and agriculture. The USTR's March 2026 Trade Policy Agenda emphasizes enforcing existing ARTs while advancing negotiations with India, Ecuador, and others through 2026. With 20 months until resolution, trader consensus hinges on tariff escalations, diplomatic summits, and Section 301 probes targeting non-compliant partners like Canada and Mexico.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$243,182
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 5:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"特朗普將在2027年之前與哪些國家達成新的貿易協議？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 17 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "印度" at 25%, followed by "以色列" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 25¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "特朗普將在2027年之前與哪些國家達成新的貿易協議？" has generated $243.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "特朗普將在2027年之前與哪些國家達成新的貿易協議？," browse the 17 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "特朗普將在2027年之前與哪些國家達成新的貿易協議？" is "印度" at 25%, meaning the market assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "以色列" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "特朗普將在2027年之前與哪些國家達成新的貿易協議？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.