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聯邦利率 預測與賠率

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聯儲局6月份的決定?

聯儲局6月份的決定?

97%

無變動

$22M 交易量

$973K today

$2M Liq.

1

Ends 大約 1 個月內

誰將被確認為聯儲局主席?

誰將被確認為聯儲局主席?

100%

Kevin Warsh

$51M 交易量

$694K today

$4M Liq.

104

Ends 6 個月內

2026年聯儲局降息多少次?

2026年聯儲局降息多少次?

57%

0(0個基點)

$25M 交易量

$235K today

$768K Liq.

68

Ends 8 個月內

傑羅姆·鮑威爾在…前擔任聯儲局主席?

傑羅姆·鮑威爾在…前擔任聯儲局主席?

99%

6月30日

$4M 交易量

$69.0K today

$290K Liq.

96

Ends 4 天內

聯儲局7月份的決定?

聯儲局7月份的決定?

91%

無變動

$5M 交易量

$60.9K today

$476K Liq.

1

Ends 3 個月內

2026年底的聯儲局利率會是多少?

2026年底的聯儲局利率會是多少?

54%

3.75%

$6M 交易量

$137K Liq.

7

Ends 7 個月內

美聯儲降息... ?

美聯儲降息... ?

40%

12月會議

$2M 交易量

$62.6K Liq.

17

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Fed Decision in September?

Fed Decision in September?

76%

No change

$46.8K 交易量

$68.5K Liq.

Ends 4 個月內

聯儲局決定( 3-6月)

聯儲局決定( 3-6月)

97%

按兵不動–按兵不動–按兵不動

$1M 交易量

$35.2K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Kevin Warsh美聯儲主席提名在5月15日前撤回?

Kevin Warsh美聯儲主席提名在5月15日前撤回?

<1%

$247K 交易量

$55.3K Liq.

1

Ends 5 天內

2026年聯儲局加息?

2026年聯儲局加息?

18%

$1M 交易量

$16.0K Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

43%

0

$8.5K 交易量

$15.4K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

傑羅姆·鮑威爾( Jerome Powell )在…前從聯儲局

傑羅姆·鮑威爾( Jerome Powell )在…前從聯儲局

43%

12月31日

$306K 交易量

$42.2K Liq.

12

Ends 8 個月內

傑羅姆·鮑威爾在6月30日之前被聯邦指控?

傑羅姆·鮑威爾在6月30日之前被聯邦指控?

1%

$266K 交易量

$5.4K Liq.

33

Ends 大約 2 個月內

美聯儲利率在2027年之前會受到什麼衝擊?

美聯儲利率在2027年之前會受到什麼衝擊?

43%

↓ 3.25%

$1M 交易量

$103K Liq.

5

Ends 8 個月內

Jerome Powell departs as Fed Chair by...?

Jerome Powell departs as Fed Chair by...?

100%

June 30

$55.1K 交易量

$26.3K Liq.

Ends 大約 2 個月內

聯儲局加息... ?

聯儲局加息... ?

17%

九月會議

$145K 交易量

$8.6K Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?

When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?

95%

May 15–22

$80.0K 交易量

$44.2K Liq.

1

Ends 大約 2 個月內

聯儲局決定( 4月至7月)

聯儲局決定( 4月至7月)

89%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$48.3K 交易量

$9.4K Liq.

Ends 3 個月內

2027年之前, 10年期美國國庫券孳息率會走多高?

2027年之前, 10年期美國國庫券孳息率會走多高?

70%

4.5%

$196K 交易量

$23.4K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

Frequently Asked Questions

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As of today, the most active market is “誰將被確認為聯儲局主席?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to Kevin Warsh. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

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