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伊朗進攻打擊 預測與賠率

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US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

69%

December 31

$122M 交易量

$3M today

$2M Liq.

2,338

Ends 8 個月內

Iran closes its airspace by...?

Iran closes its airspace by...?

62%

June 30

$20M 交易量

$3M today

$298K Liq.

837

Ends 11 天內

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

29%

$29M 交易量

$354K today

$784K Liq.

3

Ends 8 個月內

Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

66%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$9M 交易量

$327K today

$2M Liq.

112

Ends 8 個月內

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

75%

July 31

$37M 交易量

$289K today

$275K Liq.

6

Ends 20 天前

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

45%

December 31

$8M 交易量

$167K today

$309K Liq.

122

Ends 8 個月內

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

42%

No Meeting by June 30

$7M 交易量

$158K today

$408K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

33%

December 31

$14M 交易量

$136K today

$239K Liq.

1,055

Ends 8 個月內

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

12%

$831K 交易量

$111K today

$33.5K Liq.

Ends 11 天內

 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

51%

$300K 交易量

$104K today

$51.7K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

29%

$2M 交易量

$82.4K today

$38.9K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

13%

December 31

$19M 交易量

$57.5K today

$335K Liq.

387

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

5%

$1M 交易量

$67.6K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

13%

$1M 交易量

$39.2K Liq.

24

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?

3%

June 30

$1M 交易量

$81.1K Liq.

65

Ends 20 天前

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

4%

$501K 交易量

$72.3K Liq.

Ends 11 天內

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

15%

June 30

$972K 交易量

$85.7K Liq.

15

Ends 11 天內

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

61%

$1M 交易量

$115K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?

9%

$658K 交易量

$25.2K Liq.

Ends 11 天內

Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

89%

$155K 交易量

$5.8K Liq.

15

Ends 2 個月內

Frequently Asked Questions

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Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 69% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

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