Market icon
政治·委內瑞拉

米格爾·迪亞斯-卡內爾（ Miguel Díaz-Canel ）在擔任古巴領導人之前... ？

Market icon
政治·委內瑞拉

米格爾·迪亞斯-卡內爾（ Miguel Díaz-Canel ）在擔任古巴領導人之前... ？

$995,719 交易量

2026-06-30
Polymarket

$995,719 交易量

Polymarket

6月30日

$471,916 交易量

28%

12月31日

$102,547 交易量

52%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be President of Cuba for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Miguel Díaz-Canel and the government of Cuba; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Amid Cuba's deepening economic crisis marked by nationwide blackouts, fuel shortages, and mass migration, the Trump administration has intensified maximum pressure sanctions and demanded President Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation as a precondition for U.S.-Cuba negotiations on easing restrictions. Cuban officials, including Vice Foreign Minister Carlos Fernández de Cossío, categorically rejected altering leadership, emphasizing the one-party Communist Party structure where Díaz-Canel also serves as first secretary with Raúl Castro's enduring influence. No internal party moves or protests signal imminent change, despite speculation around a potential 2026 Communist Party congress. Ongoing sensitive talks and economic strain keep trader sentiment focused on stability versus collapse risks through mid-year deadlines.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be President of Cuba for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Miguel Díaz-Canel and the government of Cuba; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$995,719
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Jan 4, 2026, 1:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be President of Cuba for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Miguel Díaz-Canel and the government of Cuba; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be President of Cuba for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Miguel Díaz-Canel and the government of Cuba; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Amid Cuba's deepening economic crisis marked by nationwide blackouts, fuel shortages, and mass migration, the Trump administration has intensified maximum pressure sanctions and demanded President Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation as a precondition for U.S.-Cuba negotiations on easing restrictions. Cuban officials, including Vice Foreign Minister Carlos Fernández de Cossío, categorically rejected altering leadership, emphasizing the one-party Communist Party structure where Díaz-Canel also serves as first secretary with Raúl Castro's enduring influence. No internal party moves or protests signal imminent change, despite speculation around a potential 2026 Communist Party congress. Ongoing sensitive talks and economic strain keep trader sentiment focused on stability versus collapse risks through mid-year deadlines.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be President of Cuba for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Miguel Díaz-Canel and the government of Cuba; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$995,719
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Jan 4, 2026, 1:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be President of Cuba for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Miguel Díaz-Canel and the government of Cuba; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"米格爾·迪亞斯-卡內爾（ Miguel Díaz-Canel ）在擔任古巴領導人之前... ？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "12月31日" at 52%, followed by "6月30日" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 52¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "米格爾·迪亞斯-卡內爾（ Miguel Díaz-Canel ）在擔任古巴領導人之前... ？" has generated $995.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "米格爾·迪亞斯-卡內爾（ Miguel Díaz-Canel ）在擔任古巴領導人之前... ？," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "米格爾·迪亞斯-卡內爾（ Miguel Díaz-Canel ）在擔任古巴領導人之前... ？" is "12月31日" at 52%, meaning the market assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "6月30日" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "米格爾·迪亞斯-卡內爾（ Miguel Díaz-Canel ）在擔任古巴領導人之前... ？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.