Swiss voters will decide on June 14 two federal referendums: the Swiss People's Party's "No 10 Million Switzerland" initiative to cap permanent population at 10 million until 2050 by restricting immigration and asylum if thresholds near, and a challenge to parliament's plan raising barriers to civilian service as an alternative to compulsory military service for men. Trader sentiment reflects ongoing campaigning after the SVP launched its Yes drive on March 24 amid government rejection on March 16, which warned of economic risks and threats to EU pacts like free movement; a March poll showed 45% support for the cap despite broad opposition from business and research sectors fearing labor shortages and Horizon Europe access loss. No new polls have emerged, with direct democracy requiring double majority approval.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Civilian Service Act
53%
No to ten million Switzerland
31%
$659 交易量
Civilian Service Act
53%
No to ten million Switzerland
31%
- Issue 1: No to ten million Switzerland
- Issue 2: Referendum on the Civilian Service Act
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the nationwide popular vote held in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.
The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery (https://www.admin.ch/gov/en/start/documentation/votes/20260308.html) and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Apr 3, 2026, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...- Issue 1: No to ten million Switzerland
- Issue 2: Referendum on the Civilian Service Act
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the nationwide popular vote held in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.
The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery (https://www.admin.ch/gov/en/start/documentation/votes/20260308.html) and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Swiss voters will decide on June 14 two federal referendums: the Swiss People's Party's "No 10 Million Switzerland" initiative to cap permanent population at 10 million until 2050 by restricting immigration and asylum if thresholds near, and a challenge to parliament's plan raising barriers to civilian service as an alternative to compulsory military service for men. Trader sentiment reflects ongoing campaigning after the SVP launched its Yes drive on March 24 amid government rejection on March 16, which warned of economic risks and threats to EU pacts like free movement; a March poll showed 45% support for the cap despite broad opposition from business and research sectors fearing labor shortages and Horizon Europe access loss. No new polls have emerged, with direct democracy requiring double majority approval.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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