Tensions stemming from the Israel-Iran conflict and associated Hezbollah activity continue to shape considerations around Israeli airspace management. Large-scale strikes and retaliatory missile and drone barrages in February-March 2026 led to temporary closures and rerouting of flights, with restrictions extended into April amid security assessments. In early June 2026, fresh Iranian missile salvos prompted regional responses including brief closures by Iraq and Syria, though Israeli authorities have confirmed ongoing operations and gradual reopening of domestic airspace following a reported halt in strikes. Diplomatic efforts and ceasefire talks remain active factors that could influence future decisions on flight restrictions during periods of heightened alert.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$12,178,092 交易量
2026-06-10
June 10
2%
June 11
5%
June 12
8%
June 13
9%
June 14
14%
June 15
17%
6月30日
29%
$12,178,092 交易量
June 10
$227,282 交易量
2%
June 11
$77,321 交易量
5%
June 12
$29,250 交易量
8%
June 13
$20,045 交易量
9%
June 14
$17,279 交易量
14%
June 15
$4,186,694 交易量
17%
6月30日
$1,699,036 交易量
29%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tensions stemming from the Israel-Iran conflict and associated Hezbollah activity continue to shape considerations around Israeli airspace management. Large-scale strikes and retaliatory missile and drone barrages in February-March 2026 led to temporary closures and rerouting of flights, with restrictions extended into April amid security assessments. In early June 2026, fresh Iranian missile salvos prompted regional responses including brief closures by Iraq and Syria, though Israeli authorities have confirmed ongoing operations and gradual reopening of domestic airspace following a reported halt in strikes. Diplomatic efforts and ceasefire talks remain active factors that could influence future decisions on flight restrictions during periods of heightened alert.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jun 8, 2026, 3:40 PM ET
交易量
$12,178,092結束日期
2026-05-31市場開放時間
Jun 8, 2026, 3:40 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tensions stemming from the Israel-Iran conflict and associated Hezbollah activity continue to shape considerations around Israeli airspace management. Large-scale strikes and retaliatory missile and drone barrages in February-March 2026 led to temporary closures and rerouting of flights, with restrictions extended into April amid security assessments. In early June 2026, fresh Iranian missile salvos prompted regional responses including brief closures by Iraq and Syria, though Israeli authorities have confirmed ongoing operations and gradual reopening of domestic airspace following a reported halt in strikes. Diplomatic efforts and ceasefire talks remain active factors that could influence future decisions on flight restrictions during periods of heightened alert.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$12,178,092結束日期
2026-05-31市場開放時間
Jun 8, 2026, 3:40 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Tensions stemming from the Israel-Iran conflict and associated Hezbollah activity continue to shape considerations around Israeli airspace management. Large-scale strikes and retaliatory missile and drone barrages in February-March 2026 led to temporary closures and rerouting of flights, with restrictions extended into April amid security assessments. In early June 2026, fresh Iranian missile salvos prompted regional responses including brief closures by Iraq and Syria, though Israeli authorities have confirmed ongoing operations and gradual reopening of domestic airspace following a reported halt in strikes. Diplomatic efforts and ceasefire talks remain active factors that could influence future decisions on flight restrictions during periods of heightened alert.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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