OpenAI's o1 reasoning models, released in September 2024, have established a commanding lead in AI math capabilities, achieving state-of-the-art scores like 94.8% on the MATH benchmark and 83.3% on AIME—far surpassing competitors such as Google's Gemini 1.5 (92.5% MATH) and Anthropic's Claude 3.5 Sonnet (88.8%). This technical dominance, demonstrated through chain-of-thought reasoning advancements, underpins the 98.6% trader consensus, reflecting aggregated skin-in-the-game bets on sustained superiority through March 31, 2025. Challenges could arise from imminent releases like Google's Gemini 2.0 (expected December) or DeepSeek-V3, if they exceed o1 on key math evaluations, though historical launch delays and benchmark volatility temper such risks. Traders eye LMSYS Arena math leaderboards and independent evals as pivotal near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於OpenAI 98.6%
谷歌 <1%
DeepSeek <1%
Anthropic <1%
$444,107 交易量
$444,107 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
OpenAI
99%
谷歌
1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Anthropic
<1%
xAI
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Mistral
<1%
阿里巴巴
<1%
OpenAI 98.6%
谷歌 <1%
DeepSeek <1%
Anthropic <1%
$444,107 交易量
$444,107 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
OpenAI
$52,260 交易量
99%
谷歌
$125,234 交易量
1%
DeepSeek
$67,147 交易量
<1%
Anthropic
$56,232 交易量
<1%
xAI
$57,962 交易量
<1%
Moonshot
$29,007 交易量
<1%
Z.ai
$24,711 交易量
<1%
Mistral
$0 交易量
<1%
阿里巴巴
$31,554 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the company that owns the model with the highest “Mathematics Average” score on the LiveBench AI model leaderboard (https://livebench.ai/#/), on March 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
If two models are tied for the highest LiveBench Mathematics Average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “Mathematics Average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the LiveBench AI leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.OpenAI's o1 reasoning models, released in September 2024, have established a commanding lead in AI math capabilities, achieving state-of-the-art scores like 94.8% on the MATH benchmark and 83.3% on AIME—far surpassing competitors such as Google's Gemini 1.5 (92.5% MATH) and Anthropic's Claude 3.5 Sonnet (88.8%). This technical dominance, demonstrated through chain-of-thought reasoning advancements, underpins the 98.6% trader consensus, reflecting aggregated skin-in-the-game bets on sustained superiority through March 31, 2025. Challenges could arise from imminent releases like Google's Gemini 2.0 (expected December) or DeepSeek-V3, if they exceed o1 on key math evaluations, though historical launch delays and benchmark volatility temper such risks. Traders eye LMSYS Arena math leaderboards and independent evals as pivotal near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the company that owns the model with the highest “Mathematics Average” score on the LiveBench AI model leaderboard (https://livebench.ai/#/), on March 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
If two models are tied for the highest LiveBench Mathematics Average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “Mathematics Average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the LiveBench AI leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
If two models are tied for the highest LiveBench Mathematics Average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “Mathematics Average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the LiveBench AI leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
市場開放時間： Dec 12, 2025, 1:25 PM ET
交易量
$444,107結束日期
Mar 31, 2026市場開放時間
Dec 12, 2025, 1:25 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the company that owns the model with the highest “Mathematics Average” score on the LiveBench AI model leaderboard (https://livebench.ai/#/), on March 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
If two models are tied for the highest LiveBench Mathematics Average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “Mathematics Average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the LiveBench AI leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.OpenAI's o1 reasoning models, released in September 2024, have established a commanding lead in AI math capabilities, achieving state-of-the-art scores like 94.8% on the MATH benchmark and 83.3% on AIME—far surpassing competitors such as Google's Gemini 1.5 (92.5% MATH) and Anthropic's Claude 3.5 Sonnet (88.8%). This technical dominance, demonstrated through chain-of-thought reasoning advancements, underpins the 98.6% trader consensus, reflecting aggregated skin-in-the-game bets on sustained superiority through March 31, 2025. Challenges could arise from imminent releases like Google's Gemini 2.0 (expected December) or DeepSeek-V3, if they exceed o1 on key math evaluations, though historical launch delays and benchmark volatility temper such risks. Traders eye LMSYS Arena math leaderboards and independent evals as pivotal near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the company that owns the model with the highest “Mathematics Average” score on the LiveBench AI model leaderboard (https://livebench.ai/#/), on March 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
If two models are tied for the highest LiveBench Mathematics Average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “Mathematics Average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the LiveBench AI leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
If two models are tied for the highest LiveBench Mathematics Average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “Mathematics Average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the LiveBench AI leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
交易量
$444,107結束日期
Mar 31, 2026市場開放時間
Dec 12, 2025, 1:25 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...OpenAI's o1 reasoning models, released in September 2024, have established a commanding lead in AI math capabilities, achieving state-of-the-art scores like 94.8% on the MATH benchmark and 83.3% on AIME—far surpassing competitors such as Google's Gemini 1.5 (92.5% MATH) and Anthropic's Claude 3.5 Sonnet (88.8%). This technical dominance, demonstrated through chain-of-thought reasoning advancements, underpins the 98.6% trader consensus, reflecting aggregated skin-in-the-game bets on sustained superiority through March 31, 2025. Challenges could arise from imminent releases like Google's Gemini 2.0 (expected December) or DeepSeek-V3, if they exceed o1 on key math evaluations, though historical launch delays and benchmark volatility temper such risks. Traders eye LMSYS Arena math leaderboards and independent evals as pivotal near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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