OpenAI's GPT-5.4 Pro, released March 5, 2026, achieved a state-of-the-art 50% on FrontierMath Tiers 1-3—undergraduate-to-expert math problems vetted by top mathematicians—and 38% on research-level Tier 4, leapfrogging GPT-5.2's 40% and 31% marks from December 2025. This rapid advance in large language model mathematical reasoning, powered by massive scaling and enhanced chain-of-thought prompting, underscores OpenAI's lead over rivals like Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 and xAI's Grok 4.20. Trader sentiment hinges on sustained progress toward higher thresholds by June 30, with historical quarterly releases suggesting a GPT-5.5 possible, though benchmark difficulties and unannounced timelines introduce uncertainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$18,450 交易量
2026-02-28
60%+
49%
70%+
17%
$18,450 交易量
60%+
$17,670 交易量
49%
70%+
$780 交易量
17%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's GPT-5.4 Pro, released March 5, 2026, achieved a state-of-the-art 50% on FrontierMath Tiers 1-3—undergraduate-to-expert math problems vetted by top mathematicians—and 38% on research-level Tier 4, leapfrogging GPT-5.2's 40% and 31% marks from December 2025. This rapid advance in large language model mathematical reasoning, powered by massive scaling and enhanced chain-of-thought prompting, underscores OpenAI's lead over rivals like Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 and xAI's Grok 4.20. Trader sentiment hinges on sustained progress toward higher thresholds by June 30, with historical quarterly releases suggesting a GPT-5.5 possible, though benchmark difficulties and unannounced timelines introduce uncertainty.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jan 29, 2026, 12:47 PM ET
交易量
$18,450結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Jan 29, 2026, 12:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's GPT-5.4 Pro, released March 5, 2026, achieved a state-of-the-art 50% on FrontierMath Tiers 1-3—undergraduate-to-expert math problems vetted by top mathematicians—and 38% on research-level Tier 4, leapfrogging GPT-5.2's 40% and 31% marks from December 2025. This rapid advance in large language model mathematical reasoning, powered by massive scaling and enhanced chain-of-thought prompting, underscores OpenAI's lead over rivals like Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 and xAI's Grok 4.20. Trader sentiment hinges on sustained progress toward higher thresholds by June 30, with historical quarterly releases suggesting a GPT-5.5 possible, though benchmark difficulties and unannounced timelines introduce uncertainty.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$18,450結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Jan 29, 2026, 12:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI's GPT-5.4 Pro, released March 5, 2026, achieved a state-of-the-art 50% on FrontierMath Tiers 1-3—undergraduate-to-expert math problems vetted by top mathematicians—and 38% on research-level Tier 4, leapfrogging GPT-5.2's 40% and 31% marks from December 2025. This rapid advance in large language model mathematical reasoning, powered by massive scaling and enhanced chain-of-thought prompting, underscores OpenAI's lead over rivals like Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 and xAI's Grok 4.20. Trader sentiment hinges on sustained progress toward higher thresholds by June 30, with historical quarterly releases suggesting a GPT-5.5 possible, though benchmark difficulties and unannounced timelines introduce uncertainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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