Market icon
科技·Chatgpt

OpenAI GPT在6月30日之前在人類的最後一次考試中得分？

Market icon
科技·Chatgpt

OpenAI GPT在6月30日之前在人類的最後一次考試中得分？

最新
2026-06-30
Polymarket

$3,452 交易量

Polymarket

50%以上

$3,452 交易量

54%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any OpenAI GPT model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.OpenAI's GPT-5.4, released in early March 2026, scored 39.8% to 44.3% on Humanity's Last Exam—a frontier benchmark of 2,500 expert-level questions—without tools, marking an 8% gain over GPT-5.2 in two months and placing it competitively behind leaders like Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 (53.1%) and Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro (51.4%). This progress, amid iterative releases like GPT-5.3 Codex in February, fuels trader optimism for surpassing key thresholds by June 30, though exact resolution depends on evaluation configs. Upcoming catalysts include potential GPT-5.5 rollout, per OpenAI's fast cadence, versus risks of delays or benchmark contamination. Prediction markets reflect skin-in-the-game consensus on continued scaling toward expert human parity.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any OpenAI GPT model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.
交易量
$3,452
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Jan 30, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any OpenAI GPT model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any OpenAI GPT model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.OpenAI's GPT-5.4, released in early March 2026, scored 39.8% to 44.3% on Humanity's Last Exam—a frontier benchmark of 2,500 expert-level questions—without tools, marking an 8% gain over GPT-5.2 in two months and placing it competitively behind leaders like Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 (53.1%) and Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro (51.4%). This progress, amid iterative releases like GPT-5.3 Codex in February, fuels trader optimism for surpassing key thresholds by June 30, though exact resolution depends on evaluation configs. Upcoming catalysts include potential GPT-5.5 rollout, per OpenAI's fast cadence, versus risks of delays or benchmark contamination. Prediction markets reflect skin-in-the-game consensus on continued scaling toward expert human parity.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any OpenAI GPT model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.
交易量
$3,452
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Jan 30, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any OpenAI GPT model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"OpenAI GPT在6月30日之前在人類的最後一次考試中得分？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "35%以上" at 100%, followed by "40% 以上" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"OpenAI GPT在6月30日之前在人類的最後一次考試中得分？" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jan 30, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "OpenAI GPT在6月30日之前在人類的最後一次考試中得分？," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "OpenAI GPT在6月30日之前在人類的最後一次考試中得分？" is "35%以上" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "40% 以上" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "OpenAI GPT在6月30日之前在人類的最後一次考試中得分？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.