Anthropic's Claude 3.5 Sonnet has surged to the top of the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard with an Elo score of 1282 since its June 20 release, displacing OpenAI's GPT-4o and anchoring trader sentiment at implied probabilities favoring Anthropic at around 70%. This edge stems from superior performance in coding, math, and vision benchmarks, amid intensifying competition where Google's Gemini 1.5 Pro lags at third and xAI's Grok-2 delays to August. Meta's Llama 3.1 405B preview hints at a post-June 30 challenge. Traders eye leaderboard volatility from ongoing blind user votes, with resolution tied to the #1 spot at UTC midnight on June 30.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоКакие компании будут иметь модель искусственного интеллекта №1 к 30 июня?
Какие компании будут иметь модель искусственного интеллекта №1 к 30 июня?
$1,142,522 Объем

OpenAI
28%

xAI
15%

DeepSeek
8%

Z.ai
7%

Meta
6%

Alibaba
6%

Baidu
4%

Nvidia
3%

Meituan
3%

Mistral
2%
$1,142,522 Объем

OpenAI
28%

xAI
15%

DeepSeek
8%

Z.ai
7%

Meta
6%

Alibaba
6%

Baidu
4%

Nvidia
3%

Meituan
3%

Mistral
2%
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Открытие рынка: Dec 22, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic's Claude 3.5 Sonnet has surged to the top of the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard with an Elo score of 1282 since its June 20 release, displacing OpenAI's GPT-4o and anchoring trader sentiment at implied probabilities favoring Anthropic at around 70%. This edge stems from superior performance in coding, math, and vision benchmarks, amid intensifying competition where Google's Gemini 1.5 Pro lags at third and xAI's Grok-2 delays to August. Meta's Llama 3.1 405B preview hints at a post-June 30 challenge. Traders eye leaderboard volatility from ongoing blind user votes, with resolution tied to the #1 spot at UTC midnight on June 30.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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