Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 30-45mm total precipitation for Seoul in March 2026, reflecting a notably dry month with only scattered light rain and snow events observed through March 28, per Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) records—primarily on March 2, 3, 5, 6, 15, and 18, lacking any heavy downpours. This below-average accumulation (historical March norm ~47mm) stems from dominant high-pressure systems suppressing moisture influx during early spring transition, when frontal activity is minimal. Closely matched leading outcomes hinge on precise gauge measurements at official stations like Gimpo, potential trace precipitation inclusion, and dry forecasts from KMA for March 29-31 showing low rain probabilities (<30%). Updated model ensembles could shift the final tally if unexpected late showers develop.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоPrecipitation in Seoul in March?
Precipitation in Seoul in March?
35-40 мм 33%
30-35 мм 30%
40-45 мм 23%
60 мм+ 13%
$24,178 Объем
$24,178 Объем
<30мм
<1%
30-35 мм
29%
35-40 мм
29%
40-45 мм
23%
45-50 мм
6%
50-55 мм
11%
55-60 мм
14%
60 мм+
13%
35-40 мм 33%
30-35 мм 30%
40-45 мм 23%
60 мм+ 13%
$24,178 Объем
$24,178 Объем
<30мм
<1%
30-35 мм
29%
35-40 мм
29%
40-45 мм
23%
45-50 мм
6%
50-55 мм
11%
55-60 мм
14%
60 мм+
13%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of March at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by May 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 13, 2026, 1:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of March at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by May 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 30-45mm total precipitation for Seoul in March 2026, reflecting a notably dry month with only scattered light rain and snow events observed through March 28, per Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) records—primarily on March 2, 3, 5, 6, 15, and 18, lacking any heavy downpours. This below-average accumulation (historical March norm ~47mm) stems from dominant high-pressure systems suppressing moisture influx during early spring transition, when frontal activity is minimal. Closely matched leading outcomes hinge on precise gauge measurements at official stations like Gimpo, potential trace precipitation inclusion, and dry forecasts from KMA for March 29-31 showing low rain probabilities (<30%). Updated model ensembles could shift the final tally if unexpected late showers develop.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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