Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a high of exactly 24°C in Wuhan on March 27, with market-implied odds at 100%, driven by the latest forecast model ensembles from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS), which converge on this peak amid mild spring conditions featuring light southerly winds and partial cloud cover capping daytime heating. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration aligns, showing current surface observations trending 1-2°C below recent averages, with no signals of intensification from upper-air patterns or frontal boundaries. This positioning reflects strong scientific agreement, though rare scenarios like a sudden clear-sky surge or localized urban heat island amplification could push toward 25°C or higher; hourly updates from monitoring stations will provide definitive data as the date progresses.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Wuhan on March 27?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on March 27?
24°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$59,927 Объем
$59,927 Объем
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$59,927 Объем
$59,927 Объем
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 23, 2026, 6:17 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a high of exactly 24°C in Wuhan on March 27, with market-implied odds at 100%, driven by the latest forecast model ensembles from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS), which converge on this peak amid mild spring conditions featuring light southerly winds and partial cloud cover capping daytime heating. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration aligns, showing current surface observations trending 1-2°C below recent averages, with no signals of intensification from upper-air patterns or frontal boundaries. This positioning reflects strong scientific agreement, though rare scenarios like a sudden clear-sky surge or localized urban heat island amplification could push toward 25°C or higher; hourly updates from monitoring stations will provide definitive data as the date progresses.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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