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Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 28?

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Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 28?

Ended: Mar 28

Mar 29

Ended: Mar 28

Mar 29

28°C 100.0%

19°C or below <1%

20°C <1%

21°C <1%

Polymarket

$313,713 Объем

28°C 100.0%

19°C or below <1%

20°C <1%

21°C <1%

Polymarket

$313,713 Объем

19°C or below

$109,752 Объем

No

20°C

$18,643 Объем

No

21°C

$8,925 Объем

No

22°C

$9,883 Объем

No

23°C

$8,816 Объем

No

24°C

$10,181 Объем

No

25°C

$11,855 Объем

No

26°C

$24,146 Объем

No

27°C

$57,525 Объем

No

28°C

$28,285 Объем

Yes

29°C or higher

$25,703 Объем

No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 28°C in Shenzhen today at nearly 100% implied probability, anchored by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecast projecting that exact peak amid transitioning showers to partly cloudy skies and light southeast winds below 3 m/s. Hourly projections indicate a midday top near 27–28°C, aligning with ECMWF and GFS global model ensembles under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge that supports mild spring warming above the March climatological average of 23°C. Morning observations from Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport confirm mid-20s Celsius readings, with persistent cloud cover and high humidity—around 80–90%—limiting further solar-driven intensification, augmented slightly by 1–2°C urban heat island effects. Realistic challenges include unexpected rapid clearing for prolonged insolation or localized microclimate spikes at the airport station, though current atmospheric stability renders these improbable; final hourly data through evening will confirm resolution.

Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 28°C in Shenzhen today at nearly 100% implied probability, anchored by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecast projecting that exact peak amid transitioning showers to partly cloudy skies and light southeast winds below 3 m/s. Hourly projections indicate a midday top near 27–28°C, aligning with ECMWF and GFS global model ensembles under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge that supports mild spring warming above the March climatological average of 23°C. Morning observations from Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport confirm mid-20s Celsius readings, with persistent cloud cover and high humidity—around 80–90%—limiting further solar-driven intensification, augmented slightly by 1–2°C urban heat island effects. Realistic challenges include unexpected rapid clearing for prolonged insolation or localized microclimate spikes at the airport station, though current atmospheric stability renders these improbable; final hourly data through evening will confirm resolution.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 28°C in Shenzhen today at nearly 100% implied probability, anchored by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecast projecting that exact peak amid transitioning showers to partly cloudy skies and light southeast winds below 3 m/s. Hourly projections indicate a midday top near 27–28°C, aligning with ECMWF and GFS global model ensembles under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge that supports mild spring warming above the March climatological average of 23°C. Morning observations from Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport confirm mid-20s Celsius readings, with persistent cloud cover and high humidity—around 80–90%—limiting further solar-driven intensification, augmented slightly by 1–2°C urban heat island effects. Realistic challenges include unexpected rapid clearing for prolonged insolation or localized microclimate spikes at the airport station, though current atmospheric stability renders these improbable; final hourly data through evening will confirm resolution.

Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 28°C in Shenzhen today at nearly 100% implied probability, anchored by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecast projecting that exact peak amid transitioning showers to partly cloudy skies and light southeast winds below 3 m/s. Hourly projections indicate a midday top near 27–28°C, aligning with ECMWF and GFS global model ensembles under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge that supports mild spring warming above the March climatological average of 23°C. Morning observations from Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport confirm mid-20s Celsius readings, with persistent cloud cover and high humidity—around 80–90%—limiting further solar-driven intensification, augmented slightly by 1–2°C urban heat island effects. Realistic challenges include unexpected rapid clearing for prolonged insolation or localized microclimate spikes at the airport station, though current atmospheric stability renders these improbable; final hourly data through evening will confirm resolution.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 28?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «28°C» с 100%, за ним следует «19°C or below» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 28?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $313.7K с момента запуска рынка Mar 24, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 28?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 28?» — «28°C» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «19°C or below» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 28?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.