Latest ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models indicate a consensus high temperature near 10°C in Paris on March 26, shaped by persistent northerly winds ushering cool, stable air masses across northern France amid high pressure dominance. Overnight lows around 5-6°C and daytime cloud cover limit solar heating, aligning trader sentiment with 10°C (43%) and 9°C (32%) as frontrunners, while warmer 11°C+ outcomes recede due to subdued instability. This reflects a recent cooling trend over the past week, with deviations 2-3°C below seasonal norms (historical March averages ~11-12°C). Uncertainty persists from potential afternoon clearing; updated 00Z model runs and hourly guidance expected within 48 hours could refine market-implied odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Paris on March 26?
Highest temperature in Paris on March 26?
10°C 43%
9°C 33%
11°C 18%
8°C 2.5%
$50,369 Объем
$50,369 Объем
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
1%
8°C
2%
9°C
33%
10°C
43%
11°C
18%
12°C
2%
13°C
1%
14°C or higher
1%
10°C 43%
9°C 33%
11°C 18%
8°C 2.5%
$50,369 Объем
$50,369 Объем
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
1%
8°C
2%
9°C
33%
10°C
43%
11°C
18%
12°C
2%
13°C
1%
14°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 22, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models indicate a consensus high temperature near 10°C in Paris on March 26, shaped by persistent northerly winds ushering cool, stable air masses across northern France amid high pressure dominance. Overnight lows around 5-6°C and daytime cloud cover limit solar heating, aligning trader sentiment with 10°C (43%) and 9°C (32%) as frontrunners, while warmer 11°C+ outcomes recede due to subdued instability. This reflects a recent cooling trend over the past week, with deviations 2-3°C below seasonal norms (historical March averages ~11-12°C). Uncertainty persists from potential afternoon clearing; updated 00Z model runs and hourly guidance expected within 48 hours could refine market-implied odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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