Latest high-resolution weather models from the German Weather Service (DWD) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) converge on a maximum temperature of 15°C for Munich on March 25, reflecting trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. This positioning stems from a stable high-pressure ridge over Central Europe promoting mild southerly airflow and ample daytime sunshine, with near-surface temperatures peaking mid-afternoon under light winds. Historical late-March norms for Munich average 11–13°C, but current synoptic patterns—verified by radiosonde data and satellite imagery—support this slightly elevated reading without convective activity to push higher. Realistic challenges include an unexpected influx of cooler Arctic air or increased cloud cover reducing insolation, potentially dropping to 14°C, or prolonged clear skies edging toward 16°C; official observations from Munich airport stations will confirm resolution soon after midnight.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мюнхене 25 марта?
Самая высокая температура в Мюнхене 25 марта?
15°C 100.0%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$103,411 Объем
$103,411 Объем
15°C
100%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C или выше
<1%
15°C 100.0%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$103,411 Объем
$103,411 Объем
15°C
100%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest high-resolution weather models from the German Weather Service (DWD) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) converge on a maximum temperature of 15°C for Munich on March 25, reflecting trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. This positioning stems from a stable high-pressure ridge over Central Europe promoting mild southerly airflow and ample daytime sunshine, with near-surface temperatures peaking mid-afternoon under light winds. Historical late-March norms for Munich average 11–13°C, but current synoptic patterns—verified by radiosonde data and satellite imagery—support this slightly elevated reading without convective activity to push higher. Realistic challenges include an unexpected influx of cooler Arctic air or increased cloud cover reducing insolation, potentially dropping to 14°C, or prolonged clear skies edging toward 16°C; official observations from Munich airport stations will confirm resolution soon after midnight.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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