Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 35°C (38%) or 36°C (30%) in Lucknow on March 26, reflecting the latest India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts projecting maximums in the mid-to-upper 30s Celsius amid clear skies and minimal cloud cover. These odds stem from recent observational data showing daytime highs climbing steadily this week—reaching 34°C on March 24—driven by persistent high-pressure systems and low humidity typical of northern India's pre-monsoon season. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon haze reducing solar heating for 34°C or below (22%), versus stronger insolation pushing toward 36°C+ if winds remain light; historical March averages hover around 32–33°C, but current anomalies align with model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles. New IMD updates expected by evening could refine this tight race, as daily temperature forecasts carry ±2°C uncertainty.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Lucknow on March 26?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 26?
35°C 41%
36°C 30%
34°C or below 20%
37°C 5.6%
$72,113 Объем
$72,113 Объем
34°C or below
20%
35°C
41%
36°C
30%
37°C
6%
38°C
1%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
35°C 41%
36°C 30%
34°C or below 20%
37°C 5.6%
$72,113 Объем
$72,113 Объем
34°C or below
20%
35°C
41%
36°C
30%
37°C
6%
38°C
1%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 35°C (38%) or 36°C (30%) in Lucknow on March 26, reflecting the latest India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts projecting maximums in the mid-to-upper 30s Celsius amid clear skies and minimal cloud cover. These odds stem from recent observational data showing daytime highs climbing steadily this week—reaching 34°C on March 24—driven by persistent high-pressure systems and low humidity typical of northern India's pre-monsoon season. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon haze reducing solar heating for 34°C or below (22%), versus stronger insolation pushing toward 36°C+ if winds remain light; historical March averages hover around 32–33°C, but current anomalies align with model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles. New IMD updates expected by evening could refine this tight race, as daily temperature forecasts carry ±2°C uncertainty.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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