Met Office forecasts and ensemble model runs from ECMWF position 12°C as the leading outcome at 39.5% implied probability for London's highest temperature on March 27, amid a transitional weather pattern featuring weakening high pressure over the UK and increasing northerly winds bringing cooler air masses. Recent 24-hour updates show surface observations averaging 10-12°C across southeast England, with yesterday's high near Heathrow at 11.5°C aligning with trader consensus. Climatological norms for late March hover around 11-13°C, but model consensus highlights limited solar insolation and cloud cover capping peaks below 14°C. Traders await this afternoon's 12Z forecast release, which could refine probabilities as the event nears resolution based on official Heathrow readings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in London on March 27?
Highest temperature in London on March 27?
12°C 40%
13°C 25%
11°C 20%
14°C 7%
$51,386 Объем
$51,386 Объем
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
6%
11°C
20%
12°C
40%
13°C
25%
14°C
7%
15°C
5%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
12°C 40%
13°C 25%
11°C 20%
14°C 7%
$51,386 Объем
$51,386 Объем
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
6%
11°C
20%
12°C
40%
13°C
25%
14°C
7%
15°C
5%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 23, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Met Office forecasts and ensemble model runs from ECMWF position 12°C as the leading outcome at 39.5% implied probability for London's highest temperature on March 27, amid a transitional weather pattern featuring weakening high pressure over the UK and increasing northerly winds bringing cooler air masses. Recent 24-hour updates show surface observations averaging 10-12°C across southeast England, with yesterday's high near Heathrow at 11.5°C aligning with trader consensus. Climatological norms for late March hover around 11-13°C, but model consensus highlights limited solar insolation and cloud cover capping peaks below 14°C. Traders await this afternoon's 12Z forecast release, which could refine probabilities as the event nears resolution based on official Heathrow readings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы