Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a tight race for Houston's highest temperature on March 28, with 74-75°F (24.5%), 72-73°F (24.0%), and 76-77°F (22.0%) leading amid National Weather Service guidance projecting a high near 75°F under partly cloudy skies and light south-southeasterly winds at 5-10 mph. Recent 12Z GFS and ECMWF model ensembles converge on mid-70s peaks, but divergent handling of afternoon boundary layer mixing, cumulus cloud development, and insolation accounts for the narrow spread differentiating top outcomes—cooler if clouds thicken earlier, warmer with clearer skies. Post-frontal recovery from March 25's cooler air mass, neutral ENSO influences, and March climatology averaging 74°F underpin the positioning, with intraday observations key to resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Houston on March 28?
Highest temperature in Houston on March 28?
72-73°F 28%
74-75°F 26%
78-79°F 23%
76-77°F 22%
$10,493 Объем
$10,493 Объем
67°F or below
2%
68-69°F
3%
70-71°F
11%
72-73°F
28%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
22%
78-79°F
19%
80-81°F
13%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
3%
86°F or higher
2%
72-73°F 28%
74-75°F 26%
78-79°F 23%
76-77°F 22%
$10,493 Объем
$10,493 Объем
67°F or below
2%
68-69°F
3%
70-71°F
11%
72-73°F
28%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
22%
78-79°F
19%
80-81°F
13%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
3%
86°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 24, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a tight race for Houston's highest temperature on March 28, with 74-75°F (24.5%), 72-73°F (24.0%), and 76-77°F (22.0%) leading amid National Weather Service guidance projecting a high near 75°F under partly cloudy skies and light south-southeasterly winds at 5-10 mph. Recent 12Z GFS and ECMWF model ensembles converge on mid-70s peaks, but divergent handling of afternoon boundary layer mixing, cumulus cloud development, and insolation accounts for the narrow spread differentiating top outcomes—cooler if clouds thicken earlier, warmer with clearer skies. Post-frontal recovery from March 25's cooler air mass, neutral ENSO influences, and March climatology averaging 74°F underpin the positioning, with intraday observations key to resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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