Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 50.5% implied probability for Denver's highest temperature reaching 80°F or higher on March 28, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast of a partly sunny day with highs near 81°F amid an extraordinary March heat wave. Recent records include 87°F on March 25—Denver's hottest March day ever—fueled by a persistent upper-level ridge over the Rockies promoting subsidence warming, dry air masses, and downslope (foehn) winds off the Front Range that boost adiabatic heating. GFS and ECMWF model ensembles largely align on low-80s peaks, though thin high clouds or lighter winds could cap outcomes at 78-79°F (31.5% odds), per ensemble spread. Observations at Denver International Airport will finalize resolution, with solar insolation key through afternoon. Normal March highs hover around 57°F, underscoring this climatological outlier.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Denver on March 28?
Highest temperature in Denver on March 28?
80°F or higher 53%
78-79°F 33%
76-77°F 16%
72-73°F <1%
$28,149 Объем
$28,149 Объем
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
16%
78-79°F
33%
80°F or higher
53%
80°F or higher 53%
78-79°F 33%
76-77°F 16%
72-73°F <1%
$28,149 Объем
$28,149 Объем
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
16%
78-79°F
33%
80°F or higher
53%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckly Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 24, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckly Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 50.5% implied probability for Denver's highest temperature reaching 80°F or higher on March 28, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast of a partly sunny day with highs near 81°F amid an extraordinary March heat wave. Recent records include 87°F on March 25—Denver's hottest March day ever—fueled by a persistent upper-level ridge over the Rockies promoting subsidence warming, dry air masses, and downslope (foehn) winds off the Front Range that boost adiabatic heating. GFS and ECMWF model ensembles largely align on low-80s peaks, though thin high clouds or lighter winds could cap outcomes at 78-79°F (31.5% odds), per ensemble spread. Observations at Denver International Airport will finalize resolution, with solar insolation key through afternoon. Normal March highs hover around 57°F, underscoring this climatological outlier.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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