Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 62% implied probability for no change in the Bank of Korea's base rate at 2.50% for the May 28-30 meeting, reflecting steady headline CPI at the 2% target in February 2026—unchanged from January—and the central bank's unanimous February 26 decision to hold rates amid upgraded 2026 GDP growth forecasts to around 1.9%. Elevated household debt, won volatility, and housing market pressures deter cuts (11.5% odds), while a minority dot plot signaling potential hikes amid oil price risks supports 21.5% increase pricing. Upcoming March CPI and Q1 GDP data could sway sentiment ahead of the policy board's review of domestic and global conditions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоBank of Korea decision in May?
Bank of Korea decision in May?
No Change 62%
Increase 22%
Decrease 12%
Decrease
12%
No Change
62%
Increase
22%
No Change 62%
Increase 22%
Decrease 12%
Decrease
12%
No Change
62%
Increase
22%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Открытие рынка: Feb 26, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 62% implied probability for no change in the Bank of Korea's base rate at 2.50% for the May 28-30 meeting, reflecting steady headline CPI at the 2% target in February 2026—unchanged from January—and the central bank's unanimous February 26 decision to hold rates amid upgraded 2026 GDP growth forecasts to around 1.9%. Elevated household debt, won volatility, and housing market pressures deter cuts (11.5% odds), while a minority dot plot signaling potential hikes amid oil price risks supports 21.5% increase pricing. Upcoming March CPI and Q1 GDP data could sway sentiment ahead of the policy board's review of domestic and global conditions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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