Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 98.6% implied probability for the Bank of Korea to hold its base rate steady at 2.5% in its April 10 meeting, extending the pause from five prior decisions including February's unanimous hold amid balanced growth and inflation risks. March 2026 CPI accelerated to 2.2% year-over-year from February's 2.0%—undershooting 2.4% forecasts—while core inflation matched at 2.2%, supporting the neutral monetary policy stance signaled by upward revisions to 2026 GDP and price forecasts. Scenarios challenging this positioning include sudden energy price spikes from geopolitical tensions or accelerated won depreciation prompting a hike, or an abrupt growth slowdown reviving cut speculation, though recent data reinforces the steady-rate base case ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоРешение Банка Кореи в апреле?
Решение Банка Кореи в апреле?
Без изменений 98.7%
Увеличение 1.4%
Снижение <1%
$52,481 Объем
$52,481 Объем
Снижение
<1%
Без изменений
99%
Увеличение
1%
Без изменений 98.7%
Увеличение 1.4%
Снижение <1%
$52,481 Объем
$52,481 Объем
Снижение
<1%
Без изменений
99%
Увеличение
1%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its April 10, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their April 10, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Открытие рынка: Jan 15, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its April 10, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their April 10, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 98.6% implied probability for the Bank of Korea to hold its base rate steady at 2.5% in its April 10 meeting, extending the pause from five prior decisions including February's unanimous hold amid balanced growth and inflation risks. March 2026 CPI accelerated to 2.2% year-over-year from February's 2.0%—undershooting 2.4% forecasts—while core inflation matched at 2.2%, supporting the neutral monetary policy stance signaled by upward revisions to 2026 GDP and price forecasts. Scenarios challenging this positioning include sudden energy price spikes from geopolitical tensions or accelerated won depreciation prompting a hike, or an abrupt growth slowdown reviving cut speculation, though recent data reinforces the steady-rate base case ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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