Polymarket traders overwhelmingly price a no-change verdict at 98.6% implied probability for the Bank of Korea's April 10 policy rate decision, reflecting the base rate's steady 2.50% hold through six consecutive meetings amid balanced economic risks. March 2026 CPI rose 2.2% year-on-year—below the 2.4% consensus forecast and near the central bank's 2% target—despite oil-driven pressures from Middle East tensions, while February's unanimous pause included upward revisions to 2026 growth (around 1.9%) and core inflation forecasts. This skin-in-the-game consensus underscores a neutral monetary policy stance, with new Governor Shin Hyun-song emphasizing balance. Realistic challenges include a sharper inflation spike from energy shocks prompting a hike or Q1 GDP weakness signaling a cut, though proximity to resolution limits volatility.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоРешение Банка Кореи в апреле?
Решение Банка Кореи в апреле?
Без изменений 98.6%
Увеличение 1.3%
Снижение <1%
$52,412 Объем
$52,412 Объем
Снижение
<1%
Без изменений
99%
Увеличение
1%
Без изменений 98.6%
Увеличение 1.3%
Снижение <1%
$52,412 Объем
$52,412 Объем
Снижение
<1%
Без изменений
99%
Увеличение
1%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its April 10, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their April 10, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Открытие рынка: Jan 15, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its April 10, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their April 10, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders overwhelmingly price a no-change verdict at 98.6% implied probability for the Bank of Korea's April 10 policy rate decision, reflecting the base rate's steady 2.50% hold through six consecutive meetings amid balanced economic risks. March 2026 CPI rose 2.2% year-on-year—below the 2.4% consensus forecast and near the central bank's 2% target—despite oil-driven pressures from Middle East tensions, while February's unanimous pause included upward revisions to 2026 growth (around 1.9%) and core inflation forecasts. This skin-in-the-game consensus underscores a neutral monetary policy stance, with new Governor Shin Hyun-song emphasizing balance. Realistic challenges include a sharper inflation spike from energy shocks prompting a hike or Q1 GDP weakness signaling a cut, though proximity to resolution limits volatility.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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