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Экономика·Макроиндикаторы

Попадет ли говяжий фарш в __ в 2026 году?

Market icon
Экономика·Макроиндикаторы

Попадет ли говяжий фарш в __ в 2026 году?

НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$62 Объем

Polymarket

7,000+$

$1 Объем

85%

$8.000+

$54 Объем

48%

9,000+ долларов

$3 Объем

31%

$10.000+

$3 Объем

28%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time. The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects persistent upward pressure on ground beef prices from historic cattle herd contraction—the lowest U.S. inventory in 75 years—driving retail averages to $6.74 per pound for 100% beef in February 2026 per BLS data, up modestly from late 2025. The March 20 USDA Cattle on Feed report confirmed a 0.3% year-over-year inventory dip to 11.55 million head on March 1, with February placements rising 4% to 1.61 million amid steady marketings, signaling no near-term supply relief. USDA's latest outlook projects 2026 beef production down 2% to 25.81 billion pounds, bolstering price support as demand holds firm. Key catalysts ahead include the April 18 Cattle on Feed release and monthly WASDE updates, which could shift supply expectations.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.

The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Объем
$62
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time. The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time. The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects persistent upward pressure on ground beef prices from historic cattle herd contraction—the lowest U.S. inventory in 75 years—driving retail averages to $6.74 per pound for 100% beef in February 2026 per BLS data, up modestly from late 2025. The March 20 USDA Cattle on Feed report confirmed a 0.3% year-over-year inventory dip to 11.55 million head on March 1, with February placements rising 4% to 1.61 million amid steady marketings, signaling no near-term supply relief. USDA's latest outlook projects 2026 beef production down 2% to 25.81 billion pounds, bolstering price support as demand holds firm. Key catalysts ahead include the April 18 Cattle on Feed release and monthly WASDE updates, which could shift supply expectations.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.

The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Объем
$62
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time. The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Попадет ли говяжий фарш в __ в 2026 году?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 4 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «7,000+$» с 85%, за ним следует «$8.000+» с 48%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 85¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 85%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Попадет ли говяжий фарш в __ в 2026 году?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Apr 3, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Попадет ли говяжий фарш в __ в 2026 году?», просмотри 4 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Попадет ли говяжий фарш в __ в 2026 году?» — «7,000+$» с 85%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 85%. Следующий ближайший исход — «$8.000+» с 48%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Попадет ли говяжий фарш в __ в 2026 году?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.