Polymarket traders show razor-thin implied probabilities for South Korea's 2026 annual inflation, with 1.8%-2.0% (26%) edging 2.4%-2.6% (25.5%) amid closely contested sentiment reflecting the Bank of Korea's (BOK) 2% target. November 2024 CPI printed at 1.9% YoY—below expectations—bolstering lower bins after October's 1.6%, while core inflation held at 2.4%, capping aggressive disinflation bets. BOK's October rate cut to 3.25% signals easing as inflation moderates from 2022 peaks, but global oil volatility and potential U.S. tariff risks under new policies keep upside scenarios viable at 22.5% for 3.0%+. Key swing factors include Q1 2025 CPI releases and February BOK meeting; consensus forecasts from IMF peg 2026 at ~2.0%, underscoring the market's balanced pricing of steady-state normalization.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновленоот 1,8% до 2,0% 26%
2,4% до 2,6% 26%
1,5% — 1,7% 23%
3,0%+ 23%
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
<1,5%
22%
1,5% — 1,7%
23%
от 1,8% до 2,0%
26%
От 2,1% до 2,3%
6%
2,4% до 2,6%
26%
От 2,7% до 2,9%
19%
3,0%+
23%
от 1,8% до 2,0% 26%
2,4% до 2,6% 26%
1,5% — 1,7% 23%
3,0%+ 23%
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
<1,5%
$0 Объем
22%
1,5% — 1,7%
$0 Объем
23%
от 1,8% до 2,0%
$93 Объем
26%
От 2,1% до 2,3%
$0 Объем
6%
2,4% до 2,6%
$0 Объем
26%
От 2,7% до 2,9%
$0 Объем
19%
3,0%+
$0 Объем
23%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000Polymarket traders show razor-thin implied probabilities for South Korea's 2026 annual inflation, with 1.8%-2.0% (26%) edging 2.4%-2.6% (25.5%) amid closely contested sentiment reflecting the Bank of Korea's (BOK) 2% target. November 2024 CPI printed at 1.9% YoY—below expectations—bolstering lower bins after October's 1.6%, while core inflation held at 2.4%, capping aggressive disinflation bets. BOK's October rate cut to 3.25% signals easing as inflation moderates from 2022 peaks, but global oil volatility and potential U.S. tariff risks under new policies keep upside scenarios viable at 22.5% for 3.0%+. Key swing factors include Q1 2025 CPI releases and February BOK meeting; consensus forecasts from IMF peg 2026 at ~2.0%, underscoring the market's balanced pricing of steady-state normalization.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Открытие рынка: Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Объем
$93Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000Polymarket traders show razor-thin implied probabilities for South Korea's 2026 annual inflation, with 1.8%-2.0% (26%) edging 2.4%-2.6% (25.5%) amid closely contested sentiment reflecting the Bank of Korea's (BOK) 2% target. November 2024 CPI printed at 1.9% YoY—below expectations—bolstering lower bins after October's 1.6%, while core inflation held at 2.4%, capping aggressive disinflation bets. BOK's October rate cut to 3.25% signals easing as inflation moderates from 2022 peaks, but global oil volatility and potential U.S. tariff risks under new policies keep upside scenarios viable at 22.5% for 3.0%+. Key swing factors include Q1 2025 CPI releases and February BOK meeting; consensus forecasts from IMF peg 2026 at ~2.0%, underscoring the market's balanced pricing of steady-state normalization.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Объем
$93Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders show razor-thin implied probabilities for South Korea's 2026 annual inflation, with 1.8%-2.0% (26%) edging 2.4%-2.6% (25.5%) amid closely contested sentiment reflecting the Bank of Korea's (BOK) 2% target. November 2024 CPI printed at 1.9% YoY—below expectations—bolstering lower bins after October's 1.6%, while core inflation held at 2.4%, capping aggressive disinflation bets. BOK's October rate cut to 3.25% signals easing as inflation moderates from 2022 peaks, but global oil volatility and potential U.S. tariff risks under new policies keep upside scenarios viable at 22.5% for 3.0%+. Key swing factors include Q1 2025 CPI releases and February BOK meeting; consensus forecasts from IMF peg 2026 at ~2.0%, underscoring the market's balanced pricing of steady-state normalization.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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