Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the $2.25–2.50/dozen outcome at 59% implied probability for the BLS U.S. city average retail price of Grade A large eggs in March 2026, reflecting sustained declines from February's $2.50/dozen amid easing avian flu pressures and a 9 million hen flock expansion boosting supply. USDA data shows wholesale prices plunging to $0.77/dozen by March 31 and advertised retail averages hitting a 2026 low of $1.80/dozen, outpacing demand post-Easter. The $2.50–2.75 bin trails at 28%, capturing potential retail lag, while higher bins below 5% signal low upside risk. March CPI data, due April 10, will resolve the market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоPrice of Dozen Eggs in March?
Price of Dozen Eggs in March?
$2.25–2.50 59%
$2.50–2.75 28%
$2.00–2.25 7.2%
$2.75–3.00 4.3%
$386,656 Объем
$386,656 Объем
<$2.00
2%
$2.00–2.25
7%
$2.25–2.50
59%
$2.50–2.75
28%
$2.75–3.00
4%
$3.00–3.25
1%
$3.25–3.50
<1%
$3.50–3.75
1%
$3.75–4.00
<1%
≥$4.00
<1%
$2.25–2.50 59%
$2.50–2.75 28%
$2.00–2.25 7.2%
$2.75–3.00 4.3%
$386,656 Объем
$386,656 Объем
<$2.00
2%
$2.00–2.25
7%
$2.25–2.50
59%
$2.50–2.75
28%
$2.75–3.00
4%
$3.00–3.25
1%
$3.25–3.50
<1%
$3.50–3.75
1%
$3.75–4.00
<1%
≥$4.00
<1%
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The March release is presently scheduled for April 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Открытие рынка: Mar 11, 2026, 1:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The March release is presently scheduled for April 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the $2.25–2.50/dozen outcome at 59% implied probability for the BLS U.S. city average retail price of Grade A large eggs in March 2026, reflecting sustained declines from February's $2.50/dozen amid easing avian flu pressures and a 9 million hen flock expansion boosting supply. USDA data shows wholesale prices plunging to $0.77/dozen by March 31 and advertised retail averages hitting a 2026 low of $1.80/dozen, outpacing demand post-Easter. The $2.50–2.75 bin trails at 28%, capturing potential retail lag, while higher bins below 5% signal low upside risk. March CPI data, due April 10, will resolve the market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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